Several competitively matched mid-tier sides around FIFA ranks 15–30 sit in groups featuring stronger opponents, creating tight advancement races that explain the bunched probabilities for Senegal, Iran, Japan, Canada, and Morocco. Recent pre-tournament injuries to key attackers and defenders across multiple squads, including absences for players like Jurriën Timber and various roster adjustments, have heightened uncertainty around form and depth. Group-stage matchups such as those pitting Japan or Senegal against established powers amplify the potential for one surprise elimination among the higher-ranked entrants, while lower-probability outcomes for elite sides reflect their stronger historical qualification records and squad quality despite scattered setbacks. Trader consensus reflects these overlapping risks without clear separation among the contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: Eliminación de la nación mejor clasificada (fase de grupos)
Senegal (15) 26%
Türkiye (22) 22%
Austria (24) 22%
IR Iran (20) 20%
Argentina (1)
4%
Spain (2)
2%
France (3)
3%
England (4)
4%
Portugal (5)
3%
Brazil (6)
3%
Morocco (7)
12%
Netherlands (8)
6%
Belgium (9)
3%
Germany (10)
3%
Croatia (11)
11%
Colombia (13)
12%
Mexico (14)
3%
Senegal (15)
26%
Uruguay (16)
6%
USA (17)
17%
Japan (18)
16%
Switzerland (19)
10%
IR Iran (20)
20%
Türkiye (22)
22%
Ecuador (23)
13%
Austria (24)
22%
Korea Republic (25)
2%
Australia (27)
6%
Algeria (28)
3%
Egypt (29)
3%
Canada (30)
14%
Senegal (15) 26%
Türkiye (22) 22%
Austria (24) 22%
IR Iran (20) 20%
Argentina (1)
4%
Spain (2)
2%
France (3)
3%
England (4)
4%
Portugal (5)
3%
Brazil (6)
3%
Morocco (7)
12%
Netherlands (8)
6%
Belgium (9)
3%
Germany (10)
3%
Croatia (11)
11%
Colombia (13)
12%
Mexico (14)
3%
Senegal (15)
26%
Uruguay (16)
6%
USA (17)
17%
Japan (18)
16%
Switzerland (19)
10%
IR Iran (20)
20%
Türkiye (22)
22%
Ecuador (23)
13%
Austria (24)
22%
Korea Republic (25)
2%
Australia (27)
6%
Algeria (28)
3%
Egypt (29)
3%
Canada (30)
14%
The FIFA World Ranking in effect at the time of this market's creation will be used.
“Eliminated in the group phase” means the nation does not advance to the knockout stage (i.e., does not finish first or second in its group and is not among the eight best third-placed teams that advance).
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the group stage results cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The FIFA World Ranking in effect at the time of this market's creation will be used.
“Eliminated in the group phase” means the nation does not advance to the knockout stage (i.e., does not finish first or second in its group and is not among the eight best third-placed teams that advance).
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the group stage results cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Several competitively matched mid-tier sides around FIFA ranks 15–30 sit in groups featuring stronger opponents, creating tight advancement races that explain the bunched probabilities for Senegal, Iran, Japan, Canada, and Morocco. Recent pre-tournament injuries to key attackers and defenders across multiple squads, including absences for players like Jurriën Timber and various roster adjustments, have heightened uncertainty around form and depth. Group-stage matchups such as those pitting Japan or Senegal against established powers amplify the potential for one surprise elimination among the higher-ranked entrants, while lower-probability outcomes for elite sides reflect their stronger historical qualification records and squad quality despite scattered setbacks. Trader consensus reflects these overlapping risks without clear separation among the contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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