Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, reflecting their FIFA top ranking, attacking depth with Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, and historical group-stage dominance despite a wave of injuries sidelining Rodrygo (ACL tear), Éder Militão (muscle strain), and prodigy Estêvão (hamstring), alongside Neymar's recent viral illness—developments from the past week that have capped their favoritism below 90%. Morocco's 17.5% pricing stems from their 2022 semifinal run, new European recruits boosting squad quality, and coach Mohamed Ouahbi's strong March friendlies (draw vs. Ecuador, win vs. Paraguay), positioning them as realistic challengers in a top-two advance format. Scotland (5.1%) and Haiti (1.3%) trail as underdogs, lacking recent momentum to shift standings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti 1.3%
$214,251 Vol.
$214,251 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti 1.3%
$214,251 Vol.
$214,251 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, reflecting their FIFA top ranking, attacking depth with Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, and historical group-stage dominance despite a wave of injuries sidelining Rodrygo (ACL tear), Éder Militão (muscle strain), and prodigy Estêvão (hamstring), alongside Neymar's recent viral illness—developments from the past week that have capped their favoritism below 90%. Morocco's 17.5% pricing stems from their 2022 semifinal run, new European recruits boosting squad quality, and coach Mohamed Ouahbi's strong March friendlies (draw vs. Ecuador, win vs. Paraguay), positioning them as realistic challengers in a top-two advance format. Scotland (5.1%) and Haiti (1.3%) trail as underdogs, lacking recent momentum to shift standings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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