Brazil's overwhelming 76.5% implied probability as Group C winner stems from their five-time champion pedigree, superior squad depth with stars like Vinicius Junior and Endrick, and dominant CONMEBOL qualifiers, despite recent injuries sidelining Rodrygo (ACL tear in March) and Eder Militao (hamstring requiring surgery). Morocco holds steady at 17.5% on the back of their 2022 semifinal run, elite counter-attacking metrics from African qualifiers, and solid March friendlies (1-1 Ecuador, 2-1 Paraguay), positioning them as legitimate challengers via compact defense and rapid transitions. Scotland's 5.1% reflects gritty UEFA playoff qualification and physicality but limited group-stage history since 1998, while Haiti's 1.3% underscores their historic CONCACAF debut as minnows lacking firepower against top sides. Trader consensus anticipates Brazil topping the group ahead of June 13 opener versus Morocco at MetLife Stadium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti 1.3%
$214,251 Vol.
$214,251 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti 1.3%
$214,251 Vol.
$214,251 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil's overwhelming 76.5% implied probability as Group C winner stems from their five-time champion pedigree, superior squad depth with stars like Vinicius Junior and Endrick, and dominant CONMEBOL qualifiers, despite recent injuries sidelining Rodrygo (ACL tear in March) and Eder Militao (hamstring requiring surgery). Morocco holds steady at 17.5% on the back of their 2022 semifinal run, elite counter-attacking metrics from African qualifiers, and solid March friendlies (1-1 Ecuador, 2-1 Paraguay), positioning them as legitimate challengers via compact defense and rapid transitions. Scotland's 5.1% reflects gritty UEFA playoff qualification and physicality but limited group-stage history since 1998, while Haiti's 1.3% underscores their historic CONCACAF debut as minnows lacking firepower against top sides. Trader consensus anticipates Brazil topping the group ahead of June 13 opener versus Morocco at MetLife Stadium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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