Mercedes' championship-leading drivers Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63 points) drive trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability, bolstered by their strong early-season form including multiple wins and podiums amid Mercedes' constructors' favoritism heading into the sprint weekend. Midfield squads Racing Bulls (44%), TGR Haas (40.5%), Alpine (40%), and Audi Revolut (39%) reflect competitive upgrades and Miami track suitability, where narrow walls and overtaking zones amplify race pace and strategy edges for P7-P10 battles. The market resumes post-Sakhir and Jeddah cancellations, with FP1 extended to 90 minutes for low-grip testing under refined 2026 regulations tightening the field; rivals bring major aero packages while Mercedes opts for minor tweaks, heightening upset potential in qualifying and sprint.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRacing Bulls 71%
Mercedes 63%
Alpine 40%
Tgr Haas 38%
Racing Bulls
71%
Mercedes
63%
Alpine
40%
Tgr Haas
38%
Audi Revolut
38%
Red Bull
12%
Mclaren Mastercard
12%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Ferrari
8%
Racing Bulls 71%
Mercedes 63%
Alpine 40%
Tgr Haas 38%
Racing Bulls
71%
Mercedes
63%
Alpine
40%
Tgr Haas
38%
Audi Revolut
38%
Red Bull
12%
Mclaren Mastercard
12%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Ferrari
8%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' championship-leading drivers Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63 points) drive trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability, bolstered by their strong early-season form including multiple wins and podiums amid Mercedes' constructors' favoritism heading into the sprint weekend. Midfield squads Racing Bulls (44%), TGR Haas (40.5%), Alpine (40%), and Audi Revolut (39%) reflect competitive upgrades and Miami track suitability, where narrow walls and overtaking zones amplify race pace and strategy edges for P7-P10 battles. The market resumes post-Sakhir and Jeddah cancellations, with FP1 extended to 90 minutes for low-grip testing under refined 2026 regulations tightening the field; rivals bring major aero packages while Mercedes opts for minor tweaks, heightening upset potential in qualifying and sprint.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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