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2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 33%

Elena Rybakina 17.7%

Iga Swiatek 13%

Coco Gauff 7.6%

Polymarket

$977,998 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 33%

Elena Rybakina 17.7%

Iga Swiatek 13%

Coco Gauff 7.6%

Polymarket

$977,998 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$3,590 Vol.

33%

Elena Rybakina

$59,524 Vol.

18%

Iga Swiatek

$1,527 Vol.

13%

Coco Gauff

$7,103 Vol.

8%

Karolina Muchova

$1,262 Vol.

7%

Qinwen Zheng

$1,101 Vol.

6%

Liudmila Samsonova

$11,427 Vol.

6%

Clara Tauson

$769 Vol.

6%

Marketa Vondrousova

$579 Vol.

6%

Victoria Mboko

$1,079 Vol.

6%

Katie Boulter

$47,619 Vol.

6%

Elise Mertens

$17,290 Vol.

5%

Naomi Osaka

$883 Vol.

5%

Amanda Anisimova

$48,441 Vol.

5%

Mirra Andreeva

$15,499 Vol.

4%

Tereza Valentova

$214,476 Vol.

3%

Daria Kasatkina

$1,599 Vol.

3%

Linda Noskova

$1,560 Vol.

2%

Elina Svitolina

$969 Vol.

2%

Jessica Pegula

$78,346 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$853 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Eala

$242,393 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$819 Vol.

6%

Xiyu Wang

$17,045 Vol.

9%

Belinda Bencic

$764 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$13,700 Vol.

1%

Anastasia Potapova

$1,041 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$6,012 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$21,362 Vol.

1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$24,167 Vol.

1%

Sofia Kenin

$684 Vol.

1%

Emma Raducanu

$39,693 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$656 Vol.

1%

Donna Vekic

$18,343 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$6,471 Vol.

1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$17,189 Vol.

1%

Maya Joint

$28,826 Vol.

1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$775 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$21,253 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$1,312 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka as the clear US Open favorite at 33% implied probability, driven by her dominant 25-1 record through early May 2026, including hard court triumphs at Indian Wells and Miami that underscore her baseline power suited to Flushing Meadows. Elena Rybakina follows at 18%, bolstered by her Australian Open title, 27-6 ledger, and recent Stuttgart clay victory over Karolina Muchova, highlighting her flat-hitting efficiency on faster surfaces. Iga Swiatek's 13% trails due to a subpar 13-7 start, capped by an illness-forced retirement against Ann Li in Madrid's third round, eroding confidence in her hard court transition. Rising stars like top-10 Victoria Mboko and Xiyu Wang draw value bets amid ongoing clay volatility.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$977,998
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka as the clear US Open favorite at 33% implied probability, driven by her dominant 25-1 record through early May 2026, including hard court triumphs at Indian Wells and Miami that underscore her baseline power suited to Flushing Meadows. Elena Rybakina follows at 18%, bolstered by her Australian Open title, 27-6 ledger, and recent Stuttgart clay victory over Karolina Muchova, highlighting her flat-hitting efficiency on faster surfaces. Iga Swiatek's 13% trails due to a subpar 13-7 start, capped by an illness-forced retirement against Ann Li in Madrid's third round, eroding confidence in her hard court transition. Rising stars like top-10 Victoria Mboko and Xiyu Wang draw value bets amid ongoing clay volatility.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$977,998
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 33%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $978K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.