Trader consensus prices Scottie Scheffler as a slim PGA TOUR Championship favorite at 21.5% implied probability, closely trailed by Collin Morikawa (18%) and a tight cluster at 17.5% including surging Chris Gotterup, Adam Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, and Sepp Straka, reflecting parity atop FedExCup standings where Matt Fitzpatrick leads points and earnings through late April but Scheffler's elite ball-striking and East Lake course history command edge. Gotterup's breakout—highlighted by his fourth PGA TOUR win in a playoff at the WM Phoenix Open plus top-25s at the Masters and RBC Heritage—fuels his rise, while Morikawa's consistent top-10s, Matsuyama's iron precision, and veterans' experience in stroke-play finales keep the top-30 qualification race and tournament outcome highly competitive amid no clear dominant force.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 22%
Matt Fitzpatrick 8%
Justin Rose 7%
Ludvig Åberg 6.7%
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
8%
Justin Rose
7%
Ludvig Åberg
7%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Tommy Fleetwood
6%
Sam Burns
6%
Ryan Gerard
6%
Si Woo Kim
6%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Gary Woodland
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Xander Schauffele
12%
Jacob Bridgeman
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Russell Henley
8%
Chris Gotterup
18%
Nicolai Højgaard
13%
Adam Scott
18%
Cameron Young
12%
Collin Morikawa
18%
Ryo Hisatsune
13%
Daniel Berger
11%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
11%
Hideki Matsuyama
18%
Sepp Straka
18%
Robert MacIntyre
13%
Nico Echavarria
11%
Sahith Theegala
16%
Scottie Scheffler 22%
Matt Fitzpatrick 8%
Justin Rose 7%
Ludvig Åberg 6.7%
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
8%
Justin Rose
7%
Ludvig Åberg
7%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Tommy Fleetwood
6%
Sam Burns
6%
Ryan Gerard
6%
Si Woo Kim
6%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Gary Woodland
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Xander Schauffele
12%
Jacob Bridgeman
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Russell Henley
8%
Chris Gotterup
18%
Nicolai Højgaard
13%
Adam Scott
18%
Cameron Young
12%
Collin Morikawa
18%
Ryo Hisatsune
13%
Daniel Berger
11%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
11%
Hideki Matsuyama
18%
Sepp Straka
18%
Robert MacIntyre
13%
Nico Echavarria
11%
Sahith Theegala
16%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Scottie Scheffler as a slim PGA TOUR Championship favorite at 21.5% implied probability, closely trailed by Collin Morikawa (18%) and a tight cluster at 17.5% including surging Chris Gotterup, Adam Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, and Sepp Straka, reflecting parity atop FedExCup standings where Matt Fitzpatrick leads points and earnings through late April but Scheffler's elite ball-striking and East Lake course history command edge. Gotterup's breakout—highlighted by his fourth PGA TOUR win in a playoff at the WM Phoenix Open plus top-25s at the Masters and RBC Heritage—fuels his rise, while Morikawa's consistent top-10s, Matsuyama's iron precision, and veterans' experience in stroke-play finales keep the top-30 qualification race and tournament outcome highly competitive amid no clear dominant force.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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