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Sports·ATP

2026 Men's French Open Winner

icon for 2026 Men's French Open Winner
Sports·ATP

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Jannik Sinner 67%

Alexander Zverev 7.1%

Novak Djokovic 5.5%

Arthur Fils 4.9%

Polymarket

$22,850,670 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 67%

Alexander Zverev 7.1%

Novak Djokovic 5.5%

Arthur Fils 4.9%

Polymarket

$22,850,670 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$409,537 Vol.

67%

Alexander Zverev

$452,072 Vol.

7%

Novak Djokovic

$424,211 Vol.

6%

Arthur Fils

$384,714 Vol.

5%

Lorenzo Musetti

$8,079,338 Vol.

3%

Rafael Jodar

$134,173 Vol.

3%

Casper Ruud

$216,905 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$7,363,510 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$179,199 Vol.

1%

Daniil Medvedev

$241,946 Vol.

1%

Carlos Alcaraz

$500,643 Vol.

1%

Ben Shelton

$358,264 Vol.

1%

Francisco Cerundolo

$151,922 Vol.

1%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$221,177 Vol.

<1%

Jiri Lehecka

$192,686 Vol.

<1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$147,530 Vol.

<1%

Jakub Mensik

$133,854 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$287,486 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Bublik

$128,500 Vol.

<1%

Alejandro Tabilo

$83,157 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Fritz

$170,306 Vol.

<1%

Alex De Minaur

$127,676 Vol.

<1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$153,068 Vol.

<1%

Karen Khachanov

$88,912 Vol.

<1%

Andrey Rublev

$223,542 Vol.

<1%

Learner Tien

$241,731 Vol.

<1%

Tommy Paul

$104,216 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$120,978 Vol.

<1%

Marin Cilic

$78,904 Vol.

<1%

Alex Michelsen

$114,070 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Norrie

$105,625 Vol.

<1%

Sebastian Korda

$192,023 Vol.

<1%

Jan-Lennard Struff

$141,989 Vol.

<1%

Ugo Humbert

$117,499 Vol.

<1%

Denis Shapovalov

$94,523 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$84,704 Vol.

<1%

Reilly Opelka

$124,182 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$92,178 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$142,184 Vol.

<1%

Alexei Popyrin

$160,930 Vol.

<1%

Tomas Machac

$80,879 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner's 66.5% implied probability as 2026 French Open favorite stems from his world No. 1 dominance, including a straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 triumph over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—his first clay Masters title—and an ongoing 28-2 season record. Alcaraz's withdrawal from Roland Garros due to a right wrist injury, announced last week after skipping Madrid, clears Sinner's path to a career Grand Slam while dropping the Spaniard's odds to 0.6%. Alexander Zverev (7.1%) follows as a clay specialist with a 24-7 2026 mark and Madrid advancement, ahead of Novak Djokovic (5.5%), whose shoulder concerns and limited clay prep temper expectations despite his 24 major titles. Rising Frenchman Arthur Fils (4.8%) gains from a strong Madrid semifinal run against Sinner. Rome results next week could shift dynamics ahead of the late-May clay Grand Slam.

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,850,670
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner's 66.5% implied probability as 2026 French Open favorite stems from his world No. 1 dominance, including a straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 triumph over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—his first clay Masters title—and an ongoing 28-2 season record. Alcaraz's withdrawal from Roland Garros due to a right wrist injury, announced last week after skipping Madrid, clears Sinner's path to a career Grand Slam while dropping the Spaniard's odds to 0.6%. Alexander Zverev (7.1%) follows as a clay specialist with a 24-7 2026 mark and Madrid advancement, ahead of Novak Djokovic (5.5%), whose shoulder concerns and limited clay prep temper expectations despite his 24 major titles. Rising Frenchman Arthur Fils (4.8%) gains from a strong Madrid semifinal run against Sinner. Rome results next week could shift dynamics ahead of the late-May clay Grand Slam.

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,850,670
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men's French Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 41+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 67%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men's French Open Winner" has generated $22.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men's French Open Winner," browse the 41+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men's French Open Winner" is "Jannik Sinner" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men's French Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.