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F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 59.9%

George Russell 18%

Lewis Hamilton 12.1%

Max Verstappen 2.4%

Polymarket

$173,965,429 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 59.9%

George Russell 18%

Lewis Hamilton 12.1%

Max Verstappen 2.4%

Polymarket

$173,965,429 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,424,265 Vol.

60%

George Russell

$2,204,095 Vol.

18%

Lewis Hamilton

$4,646,053 Vol.

12%

Max Verstappen

$2,570,535 Vol.

2%

Charles Leclerc

$3,570,998 Vol.

2%

Lando Norris

$2,613,909 Vol.

1%

Oscar Piastri

$2,218,714 Vol.

1%

Sergio Pérez

$10,576,058 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$8,466,826 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$11,332,846 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$8,207,530 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$8,506,313 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$7,612,192 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$10,573,993 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$10,363,245 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$11,109,106 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$10,459,754 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$11,752,235 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$10,177,106 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$11,341,138 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$10,887,048 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$11,352,171 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds the strongest position in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship after accumulating 156 points through the first seven rounds, including five victories and multiple poles that have established a substantial lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. His consistent front-running pace and qualifying dominance have driven the 59.7% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on his title trajectory. Lewis Hamilton's recent Barcelona win for Ferrari lifted him into second in the standings, supporting his 12% pricing, while Russell's earlier results underpin his 18% share. Max Verstappen and other contenders sit well behind with limited recent momentum, aligning with their sub-3% probabilities amid Mercedes' current constructors' advantage and the compressed European schedule ahead.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$173,965,429
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds the strongest position in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship after accumulating 156 points through the first seven rounds, including five victories and multiple poles that have established a substantial lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell. His consistent front-running pace and qualifying dominance have driven the 59.7% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on his title trajectory. Lewis Hamilton's recent Barcelona win for Ferrari lifted him into second in the standings, supporting his 12% pricing, while Russell's earlier results underpin his 18% share. Max Verstappen and other contenders sit well behind with limited recent momentum, aligning with their sub-3% probabilities amid Mercedes' current constructors' advantage and the compressed European schedule ahead.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$173,965,429
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 60%, followed by "George Russell" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $174 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.