The matchup between defending champions Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal in the May 30 final at Puskás Aréna has concentrated trader attention on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, whose 60.5% implied probability leads the field. His pace, dribbling, and creative output in recent knockout rounds give him the clearest path to decisive influence on the night. A tight group of outcomes clustered near 49.5% reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in Arsenal’s organized defense and midfield depth alongside PSG’s wide threats and transition speed. Recent form, injury recoveries, and historical patterns in high-stakes European finals continue to drive modest shifts in these probabilities ahead of team news and final preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDésiré Doué 50%
Gonçalo Ramos 50%
Ousmane Dembélé 50%
Quentin Ndjantou 50%
Désiré Doué
50%
Gonçalo Ramos
50%
Ousmane Dembélé
50%
Quentin Ndjantou
50%
Dro Fernández
50%
Warren Zaïre-Emery
50%
João Neves
50%
Bradley Barcola
50%
Ibrahim Mbaye
50%
Bukayo Saka
45%
Achraf Hakimi
45%
Willian Pacho
45%
Declan Rice
45%
Viktor Gyökeres
45%
Gabriel Martinelli
40%
Fabián Ruiz
40%
Lucas Beraldo
40%
Eberechi Eze
40%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
36%
Vitinha
35%
Tommy Setford
34%
William Saliba
34%
Ben White
34%
Gabriel
34%
Leandro Trossard
33%
Lucas Chevalier
33%
David Raya
33%
Cristhian Mosquera
33%
Piero Hincapié
33%
Riccardo Calafiori
33%
Noni Madueke
33%
Jurriën Timber
30%
Mikel Merino
30%
Marquinhos
30%
Illia Zabarnyi
30%
Lee Kang-in
30%
Martin Ødegaard
30%
Lucas Hernández
30%
Nuno Mendes
30%
Senny Mayulu
30%
Gabriel Jesus
24%
Kai Havertz
22%
Matvey Safonov
22%
Martín Zubimendi
22%
Christian Nørgaard
20%
Renato Marin
20%
Myles Lewis-Skelly
20%
Kepa Arrizabalaga
10%
Désiré Doué 50%
Gonçalo Ramos 50%
Ousmane Dembélé 50%
Quentin Ndjantou 50%
Désiré Doué
50%
Gonçalo Ramos
50%
Ousmane Dembélé
50%
Quentin Ndjantou
50%
Dro Fernández
50%
Warren Zaïre-Emery
50%
João Neves
50%
Bradley Barcola
50%
Ibrahim Mbaye
50%
Bukayo Saka
45%
Achraf Hakimi
45%
Willian Pacho
45%
Declan Rice
45%
Viktor Gyökeres
45%
Gabriel Martinelli
40%
Fabián Ruiz
40%
Lucas Beraldo
40%
Eberechi Eze
40%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
36%
Vitinha
35%
Tommy Setford
34%
William Saliba
34%
Ben White
34%
Gabriel
34%
Leandro Trossard
33%
Lucas Chevalier
33%
David Raya
33%
Cristhian Mosquera
33%
Piero Hincapié
33%
Riccardo Calafiori
33%
Noni Madueke
33%
Jurriën Timber
30%
Mikel Merino
30%
Marquinhos
30%
Illia Zabarnyi
30%
Lee Kang-in
30%
Martin Ødegaard
30%
Lucas Hernández
30%
Nuno Mendes
30%
Senny Mayulu
30%
Gabriel Jesus
24%
Kai Havertz
22%
Matvey Safonov
22%
Martín Zubimendi
22%
Christian Nørgaard
20%
Renato Marin
20%
Myles Lewis-Skelly
20%
Kepa Arrizabalaga
10%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League Final is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League Final is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The matchup between defending champions Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal in the May 30 final at Puskás Aréna has concentrated trader attention on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, whose 60.5% implied probability leads the field. His pace, dribbling, and creative output in recent knockout rounds give him the clearest path to decisive influence on the night. A tight group of outcomes clustered near 49.5% reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in Arsenal’s organized defense and midfield depth alongside PSG’s wide threats and transition speed. Recent form, injury recoveries, and historical patterns in high-stakes European finals continue to drive modest shifts in these probabilities ahead of team news and final preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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