Round 1 of the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral's demanding Blue Monster Course (7,739 yards, par 72) is in progress, with early leaders Patrick Rodgers, Tom Hoge, and Sahith Theegala at -3 through nine or fewer holes, while favorites like Scottie Scheffler and Cameron Young sit even after one hole. Trader consensus reflects strong implied probabilities for elite ball-strikers such as Scheffler (85% for top 20), Young (62%), and Collin Morikawa (56%), driven by their superior distance control, recent form, and historical success on similar bombers' paradise layouts. Patrick Cantlay's withdrawal due to illness—replaced by Michael Thorbjornsen—and Rory McIlroy's skip have slightly softened the field; expect steady 10-15 mph winds and warm 89°F conditions to test accuracy over 72 holes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$54,088 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
92%
Cameron Young
78%
Bud Cauley
67%
Russell Henley
51%
Collin Morikawa
55%
Tommy Fleetwood
56%
Jordan Spieth
56%
Joel Dahmen
55%
Jhonattan Vegas
55%
Keith Mitchell
54%
Chris Gotterup
47%
Matt Wallace
53%
Sam Burns
51%
Nicolas Echavarria
51%
Brian Campbell
50%
Alexander Noren
50%
JT Poston
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Jordan L. Smith
49%
Shane Lowry
49%
Akshay Bhatia
48%
Alex Smalley
48%
Hideki Matsuyama
46%
Pierceson Coody
38%
Min Woo Lee
43%
Viktor Hovland
45%
Gary Woodland
36%
Nicolai Hojgaard
41%
Adam Scott
33%
Sahith Theegala
40%
Michael Thorbjornsen
40%
Rickie Fowler
39%
Kurt Kitayama
39%
Justin Thomas
39%
Justin Rose
39%
Jason Day
35%
Jacob Bridgeman
34%
Maverick McNealy
34%
J.J. Spaun
34%
Ryan Gerard
33%
Matt McCarty
33%
Ben Griffin
35%
Brian Harman
32%
Keegan Bradley
35%
Sam Stevens
31%
Taylor Pendrith
31%
Corey Conners
30%
Tom Hoge
30%
Ryan Fox
28%
Ryo Hisatsune
28%
Max Homa
28%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
34%
Max Greyserman
27%
Harris English
26%
Andrew Putnam
26%
Aldrich Potgieter
25%
Harry Hall
22%
Austin Smotherman
24%
Ricky Castillo
23%
Nick Taylor
22%
Alex Fitzpatrick
22%
Michael Kim
18%
Patrick Rodgers
18%
Andrew Novak
17%
David Lipsky
16%
Denny McCarthy
16%
Chandler Blanchet
13%
Lucas Glover
9%
Jake Knapp
9%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Daniel Berger
60%
Sung-Jae Im
49%
$54,088 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
92%
Cameron Young
78%
Bud Cauley
67%
Russell Henley
51%
Collin Morikawa
55%
Tommy Fleetwood
56%
Jordan Spieth
56%
Joel Dahmen
55%
Jhonattan Vegas
55%
Keith Mitchell
54%
Chris Gotterup
47%
Matt Wallace
53%
Sam Burns
51%
Nicolas Echavarria
51%
Brian Campbell
50%
Alexander Noren
50%
JT Poston
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Jordan L. Smith
49%
Shane Lowry
49%
Akshay Bhatia
48%
Alex Smalley
48%
Hideki Matsuyama
46%
Pierceson Coody
38%
Min Woo Lee
43%
Viktor Hovland
45%
Gary Woodland
36%
Nicolai Hojgaard
41%
Adam Scott
33%
Sahith Theegala
40%
Michael Thorbjornsen
40%
Rickie Fowler
39%
Kurt Kitayama
39%
Justin Thomas
39%
Justin Rose
39%
Jason Day
35%
Jacob Bridgeman
34%
Maverick McNealy
34%
J.J. Spaun
34%
Ryan Gerard
33%
Matt McCarty
33%
Ben Griffin
35%
Brian Harman
32%
Keegan Bradley
35%
Sam Stevens
31%
Taylor Pendrith
31%
Corey Conners
30%
Tom Hoge
30%
Ryan Fox
28%
Ryo Hisatsune
28%
Max Homa
28%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
34%
Max Greyserman
27%
Harris English
26%
Andrew Putnam
26%
Aldrich Potgieter
25%
Harry Hall
22%
Austin Smotherman
24%
Ricky Castillo
23%
Nick Taylor
22%
Alex Fitzpatrick
22%
Michael Kim
18%
Patrick Rodgers
18%
Andrew Novak
17%
David Lipsky
16%
Denny McCarthy
16%
Chandler Blanchet
13%
Lucas Glover
9%
Jake Knapp
9%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Daniel Berger
60%
Sung-Jae Im
49%
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Round 1 of the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral's demanding Blue Monster Course (7,739 yards, par 72) is in progress, with early leaders Patrick Rodgers, Tom Hoge, and Sahith Theegala at -3 through nine or fewer holes, while favorites like Scottie Scheffler and Cameron Young sit even after one hole. Trader consensus reflects strong implied probabilities for elite ball-strikers such as Scheffler (85% for top 20), Young (62%), and Collin Morikawa (56%), driven by their superior distance control, recent form, and historical success on similar bombers' paradise layouts. Patrick Cantlay's withdrawal due to illness—replaced by Michael Thorbjornsen—and Rory McIlroy's skip have slightly softened the field; expect steady 10-15 mph winds and warm 89°F conditions to test accuracy over 72 holes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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