Iran enters their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group G opener against New Zealand as slight favorites, with traders assigning roughly 50-54% implied probability to an IR Iran win at SoFi Stadium. Iran's deeper squad experience from Asian qualifiers and recent form supports this edge, though both sides have never advanced past the group stage previously. New Zealand's 20-21% chance reflects their underdog status but accounts for realistic counterattacking potential in a low-scoring affair that boosts the 28% draw odds. Off-field factors, including Iranian delegation visa denials forcing a Tijuana training base and heightened geopolitical tensions, have disrupted preparations without derailing the core roster. Recent open sessions in Mexico and confirmed lineups have stabilized sentiment around these probabilities ahead of the June 15 kickoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran enters their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group G opener against New Zealand as slight favorites, with traders assigning roughly 50-54% implied probability to an IR Iran win at SoFi Stadium. Iran's deeper squad experience from Asian qualifiers and recent form supports this edge, though both sides have never advanced past the group stage previously. New Zealand's 20-21% chance reflects their underdog status but accounts for realistic counterattacking potential in a low-scoring affair that boosts the 28% draw odds. Off-field factors, including Iranian delegation visa denials forcing a Tijuana training base and heightened geopolitical tensions, have disrupted preparations without derailing the core roster. Recent open sessions in Mexico and confirmed lineups have stabilized sentiment around these probabilities ahead of the June 15 kickoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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