US lightning detection rules, which automatically suspend matches if strikes occur within eight miles of open-air stadiums and reset a 30-minute wait clock with each new detection, represent the dominant factor shaping expectations for weather-related stoppages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Summer thunderstorm patterns across US host cities heighten this risk compared with prior tournaments, as seen in recent warm-up fixtures like England versus Costa Rica that faced hour-long delays from heavy rain and electrical activity. FIFA lacks a fixed abandonment threshold, handling postponements case-by-case while following local protocols, and group-stage scheduling overlaps could amplify impacts if conditions persist into later rounds. Heat-related cooling breaks under Wet Bulb Globe Temperature monitoring add another layer but rarely trigger full suspensions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1+ matches
85%
2+ matches
51%
3+ matches
50%
4+ matches
50%
5+ matches
50%
6+ matches
50%
7+ matches
50%
8+ matches
48%
9+ matches
41%
$0.00 Vol.
1+ matches
85%
2+ matches
51%
3+ matches
50%
4+ matches
50%
5+ matches
50%
6+ matches
50%
7+ matches
50%
8+ matches
48%
9+ matches
41%
A match is counted if it is officially halted under the adverse-weather protocol, or postponed or rescheduled prior to kickoff due to weather. Each affected match counts once.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A match is counted if it is officially halted under the adverse-weather protocol, or postponed or rescheduled prior to kickoff due to weather. Each affected match counts once.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US lightning detection rules, which automatically suspend matches if strikes occur within eight miles of open-air stadiums and reset a 30-minute wait clock with each new detection, represent the dominant factor shaping expectations for weather-related stoppages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Summer thunderstorm patterns across US host cities heighten this risk compared with prior tournaments, as seen in recent warm-up fixtures like England versus Costa Rica that faced hour-long delays from heavy rain and electrical activity. FIFA lacks a fixed abandonment threshold, handling postponements case-by-case while following local protocols, and group-stage scheduling overlaps could amplify impacts if conditions persist into later rounds. Heat-related cooling breaks under Wet Bulb Globe Temperature monitoring add another layer but rarely trigger full suspensions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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