The expanded 2026 World Cup format with 48 teams creates 32 entrants into the knockout phase and adds an extra round, producing far more high-stakes matches than prior editions where draws after 90 minutes plus extra time trigger penalty shootouts. Historical precedent shows variability, with a record five shootouts in 2022 and an all-time total of 35 across tournaments, often tied to evenly matched sides, defensive tactics, and fatigue. Group-stage games cannot end in shootouts under current rules, while factors like roster depth, specialist penalty takers, and potential weather or travel effects in North American venues could influence tie frequency in the bracket. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes alongside typical knockout volatility.