Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in mid-2026, with the ECB raising its deposit facility rate 25 basis points to 2.25% on June 11 amid revised staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% this year due to Middle East energy shocks. This contrasts with market expectations for Federal Reserve easing or pauses later in 2026, narrowing but not eliminating the transatlantic rate differential and supporting modest USD strength near current levels around 1.156–1.157. Euro-area growth forecasts have been cut to 0.8–0.9% for 2026, while U.S. data resilience and tariff-related volatility from 2025 continue to influence risk sentiment and safe-haven flows. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB and FOMC decisions plus fresh CPI releases that could shift implied rate paths and trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$77,181 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
9%
↑ 1,30
19%
↑ 1,26
30%
↑ 1,24
33%
↑ 1,22
50%
↑ 1,20
60%
↓ 1,14
64%
↓ 1,12
28%
↓ 1,10
22%
↓ 1,05
6%
↓ 1.00
7%
$77,181 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$1,685 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,35
$1,048 Vol.
9%
↑ 1,30
$736 Vol.
19%
↑ 1,26
$2,892 Vol.
30%
↑ 1,24
$1,986 Vol.
33%
↑ 1,22
$320 Vol.
50%
↑ 1,20
$40,417 Vol.
60%
↓ 1,14
$5,827 Vol.
64%
↓ 1,12
$1,970 Vol.
28%
↓ 1,10
$3,188 Vol.
22%
↓ 1,05
$3,706 Vol.
6%
↓ 1.00
$3,700 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in mid-2026, with the ECB raising its deposit facility rate 25 basis points to 2.25% on June 11 amid revised staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% this year due to Middle East energy shocks. This contrasts with market expectations for Federal Reserve easing or pauses later in 2026, narrowing but not eliminating the transatlantic rate differential and supporting modest USD strength near current levels around 1.156–1.157. Euro-area growth forecasts have been cut to 0.8–0.9% for 2026, while U.S. data resilience and tariff-related volatility from 2025 continue to influence risk sentiment and safe-haven flows. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB and FOMC decisions plus fresh CPI releases that could shift implied rate paths and trader positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volumen
$77,181Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in mid-2026, with the ECB raising its deposit facility rate 25 basis points to 2.25% on June 11 amid revised staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% this year due to Middle East energy shocks. This contrasts with market expectations for Federal Reserve easing or pauses later in 2026, narrowing but not eliminating the transatlantic rate differential and supporting modest USD strength near current levels around 1.156–1.157. Euro-area growth forecasts have been cut to 0.8–0.9% for 2026, while U.S. data resilience and tariff-related volatility from 2025 continue to influence risk sentiment and safe-haven flows. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB and FOMC decisions plus fresh CPI releases that could shift implied rate paths and trader positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volumen
$77,181Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in mid-2026, with the ECB raising its deposit facility rate 25 basis points to 2.25% on June 11 amid revised staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% this year due to Middle East energy shocks. This contrasts with market expectations for Federal Reserve easing or pauses later in 2026, narrowing but not eliminating the transatlantic rate differential and supporting modest USD strength near current levels around 1.156–1.157. Euro-area growth forecasts have been cut to 0.8–0.9% for 2026, while U.S. data resilience and tariff-related volatility from 2025 continue to influence risk sentiment and safe-haven flows. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB and FOMC decisions plus fresh CPI releases that could shift implied rate paths and trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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