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Deportes·Mma

¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?

icon for ¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?
Deportes·Mma

¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?

Tom Aspinall 42%

Ante Delija 28.3%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Serghei Spivac 10.1%

Polymarket

$324,110 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 42%

Ante Delija 28.3%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Serghei Spivac 10.1%

Polymarket

$324,110 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$3,992 Vol.

42%

Ante Delija

$111 Vol.

28%

Ciryl Gane

$3,700 Vol.

28%

Serghei Spivac

$101 Vol.

10%

Derrick Lewis

$9,144 Vol.

7%

Jailton Almeida

$113 Vol.

5%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$47,791 Vol.

5%

Alexander Volkov

$26,639 Vol.

2%

Marcin Tybura

$166,213 Vol.

1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$116 Vol.

18%

Peleador B

$19 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,130 Vol.

<1%

Peleador C

$19 Vol.

29%

Peleador A

$19 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**The UFC heavyweight title picture entering mid-2026 remains unsettled, with trader pricing reflecting Tom Aspinall’s prolonged absence and rapid emergence of new contenders.** Aspinall, the undisputed champion after Jon Jones’s 2025 retirement, suffered an eye injury in a no-contest against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 in October 2025. Medical delays have pushed his return timeline into question, limiting his window for defenses before year-end and opening the door for others. Recent activity has reshaped rankings and sentiment. Josh Hokit delivered a high-volume upset over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 327 in April 2026, earning Fight of the Night honors and a quick booking against Derrick Lewis at the White House event. Tyrell Fortune, a wrestling standout, cracked the top 10 with a win over Marcin Tybura and continues climbing. Rizvan Kuniev, Ante Delija, and others have notched victories that keep the division in flux. This competitive bunching around 42–45% for the top three outcomes captures the division’s volatility: Aspinall retains the edge if cleared for even one defense, yet Hokit’s momentum and Fortune’s rapid ascent create realistic paths for an end-of-year change. The market prices the field as wide open given injury uncertainty and the pace of new talent integration.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volumen
$324,110
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**The UFC heavyweight title picture entering mid-2026 remains unsettled, with trader pricing reflecting Tom Aspinall’s prolonged absence and rapid emergence of new contenders.** Aspinall, the undisputed champion after Jon Jones’s 2025 retirement, suffered an eye injury in a no-contest against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 in October 2025. Medical delays have pushed his return timeline into question, limiting his window for defenses before year-end and opening the door for others. Recent activity has reshaped rankings and sentiment. Josh Hokit delivered a high-volume upset over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 327 in April 2026, earning Fight of the Night honors and a quick booking against Derrick Lewis at the White House event. Tyrell Fortune, a wrestling standout, cracked the top 10 with a win over Marcin Tybura and continues climbing. Rizvan Kuniev, Ante Delija, and others have notched victories that keep the division in flux. This competitive bunching around 42–45% for the top three outcomes captures the division’s volatility: Aspinall retains the edge if cleared for even one defense, yet Hokit’s momentum and Fortune’s rapid ascent create realistic paths for an end-of-year change. The market prices the field as wide open given injury uncertainty and the pace of new talent integration.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volumen
$324,110
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Aspinall" con 42%, seguido de "Ante Delija" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?" ha generado $324.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?" es "Tom Aspinall" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ante Delija" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el campeón de peso pesado de UFC a finales de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.