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icon for ¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

icon for ¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?

$107,137 Vol.

24 mar 2026
Polymarket

$107,137 Vol.

Polymarket

Moderates

$3,705 Vol.

92%

Socialdemócratas

$2,140 Vol.

95%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$1,262 Vol.

84%

Izquierda Verde

$43,381 Vol.

67%

Venstre

$9,940 Vol.

35%

Partido Popular Conservador

$264 Vol.

18%

Partido Popular Danés

$4,231 Vol.

8%

La Alternativa

$3,784 Vol.

6%

Demócratas de Dinamarca

$3,330 Vol.

5%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,437 Vol.

5%

Red–Green Alliance

$1,801 Vol.

4%

Alianza Liberal

$6,865 Vol.

3%

Naleraq

$1,476 Vol.

3%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,423 Vol.

3%

Citizens’ Party

$3,213 Vol.

3%

Partido de la Unión

$6,885 Vol.

3%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 24 Folketing election produced a hung parliament under proportional representation, with Social Democrats (38 seats) as the largest party but the red bloc at 86 seats, short of the 90-seat majority, and blue bloc at 78. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, appointed formateur by the King, leads ongoing coalition negotiations among 12 parties, recently pivoting to center-right partners like Venstre and Conservatives after Moderates leader Lars Løkke Rasmussen paused talks demanding broader centrist inclusion. Deadlocked as of late April amid union pressure for a left-leaning government, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over pivotal kingmaker Moderates enabling a cross-bloc minority government; further rounds of talks loom without resolution timeline.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volumen
$107,137
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 24 Folketing election produced a hung parliament under proportional representation, with Social Democrats (38 seats) as the largest party but the red bloc at 86 seats, short of the 90-seat majority, and blue bloc at 78. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, appointed formateur by the King, leads ongoing coalition negotiations among 12 parties, recently pivoting to center-right partners like Venstre and Conservatives after Moderates leader Lars Løkke Rasmussen paused talks demanding broader centrist inclusion. Deadlocked as of late April amid union pressure for a left-leaning government, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over pivotal kingmaker Moderates enabling a cross-bloc minority government; further rounds of talks loom without resolution timeline.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volumen
$107,137
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Socialdemócratas" con 95%, seguido de "Moderates" con 92%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" ha generado $107.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" es "Socialdemócratas" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Moderates" con 92%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué partidos formarán parte del próximo Gobierno de Dinamarca?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.