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Política·Recompensas 200, 4.5, 20

When will the DHS shutdown end?

icon for When will the DHS shutdown end?
Política·Recompensas 200, 4.5, 20

When will the DHS shutdown end?

abr 30

jul 31

abr 30

jul 31

April 27-May 3 93.0%

May 18-24 5%

May 4-10 2.7%

June 15-21 1.2%

Polymarket

$46,040 Vol.

April 27-May 3 93.0%

May 18-24 5%

May 4-10 2.7%

June 15-21 1.2%

Polymarket

$46,040 Vol.

April 27-May 3

$6,112 Vol.

93%

May 4-10

$2,794 Vol.

3%

May 11-17

$2,156 Vol.

1%

May 18-24

$10,767 Vol.

5%

May 25-31

$1,249 Vol.

1%

June 1-7

$701 Vol.

<1%

June 8-14

$991 Vol.

<1%

June 15-21

$818 Vol.

1%

June 22-28

$837 Vol.

<1%

June 29-July 5

$744 Vol.

<1%

July 6-12

$1,597 Vol.

<1%

July 13-19

$1,294 Vol.

1%

July 20-26

$773 Vol.

<1%

July 27-31

$832 Vol.

<1%

After July 31

$1,959 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security partial shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, has traders pricing an 83.5% chance of resolution by May 3, driven by White House warnings yesterday that emergency funds for TSA and other personnel will exhaust by early May, risking pay disruptions. Recent Senate passage of a bipartisan DHS funding bill excluding immigration provisions stalled in the House, where Speaker Mike Johnson seeks amendments via reconciliation after approving a budget resolution last week. Over 1,100 TSA quits, Coast Guard utility arrears, and FEMA strains amplify urgency, positioning May 18-24 at 7.5% as a fallback if talks falter post-paycheck deadline.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$46,040
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security partial shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, has traders pricing an 83.5% chance of resolution by May 3, driven by White House warnings yesterday that emergency funds for TSA and other personnel will exhaust by early May, risking pay disruptions. Recent Senate passage of a bipartisan DHS funding bill excluding immigration provisions stalled in the House, where Speaker Mike Johnson seeks amendments via reconciliation after approving a budget resolution last week. Over 1,100 TSA quits, Coast Guard utility arrears, and FEMA strains amplify urgency, positioning May 18-24 at 7.5% as a fallback if talks falter post-paycheck deadline.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$46,040
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "April 27-May 3" con 93%, seguido de "May 18-24" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "When will the DHS shutdown end?" ha generado $46K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "When will the DHS shutdown end?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "When will the DHS shutdown end?" es "April 27-May 3" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "May 18-24" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "When will the DHS shutdown end?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.