US-brokered negotiations in early 2026 centered on a potential peace framework that would require Ukrainian voter approval via referendum, often discussed alongside presidential elections targeted for May. Key sticking points remain territorial concessions in Donbas and security guarantees, with Russia demanding full cession of remaining Ukrainian-controlled areas before any ceasefire. Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that major territorial changes would need parliamentary or popular ratification and would likely face rejection without reciprocal security assurances. Diplomatic momentum slowed after March bilateral talks in Florida, as US attention shifted toward the Iran conflict, leading to a confirmed pause in trilateral discussions by early April. Limited progress includes ongoing prisoner exchanges, while battlefield violations during the April Orthodox Easter ceasefire attempt underscored the absence of conditions needed for voting logistics. No referendum date has been formally set amid these unresolved issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania programado por...?
$471,941 Vol.
30 de junio
1%
September 30
9%
December 31
18%
$471,941 Vol.
30 de junio
1%
September 30
9%
December 31
18%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered negotiations in early 2026 centered on a potential peace framework that would require Ukrainian voter approval via referendum, often discussed alongside presidential elections targeted for May. Key sticking points remain territorial concessions in Donbas and security guarantees, with Russia demanding full cession of remaining Ukrainian-controlled areas before any ceasefire. Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that major territorial changes would need parliamentary or popular ratification and would likely face rejection without reciprocal security assurances. Diplomatic momentum slowed after March bilateral talks in Florida, as US attention shifted toward the Iran conflict, leading to a confirmed pause in trilateral discussions by early April. Limited progress includes ongoing prisoner exchanges, while battlefield violations during the April Orthodox Easter ceasefire attempt underscored the absence of conditions needed for voting logistics. No referendum date has been formally set amid these unresolved issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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