No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy has materialized in 2026 despite ongoing speculation centered on the two oldest justices, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito. Sources close to both have stated they intend to serve through the calendar year, and neither has announced retirement or faced confirmed health developments that would force departure. Brief earlier treatment for dehydration did not sideline Alito long-term. With lifetime tenure and no mandatory retirement age, the absence of public signals or procedural triggers has kept probabilities for an exit this year below even odds. Any late-year development would still require Senate confirmation of a successor under the current composition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy has materialized in 2026 despite ongoing speculation centered on the two oldest justices, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito. Sources close to both have stated they intend to serve through the calendar year, and neither has announced retirement or faced confirmed health developments that would force departure. Brief earlier treatment for dehydration did not sideline Alito long-term. With lifetime tenure and no mandatory retirement age, the absence of public signals or procedural triggers has kept probabilities for an exit this year below even odds. Any late-year development would still require Senate confirmation of a successor under the current composition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
Volumen
$4,560Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy has materialized in 2026 despite ongoing speculation centered on the two oldest justices, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito. Sources close to both have stated they intend to serve through the calendar year, and neither has announced retirement or faced confirmed health developments that would force departure. Brief earlier treatment for dehydration did not sideline Alito long-term. With lifetime tenure and no mandatory retirement age, the absence of public signals or procedural triggers has kept probabilities for an exit this year below even odds. Any late-year development would still require Senate confirmation of a successor under the current composition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,560Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy has materialized in 2026 despite ongoing speculation centered on the two oldest justices, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito. Sources close to both have stated they intend to serve through the calendar year, and neither has announced retirement or faced confirmed health developments that would force departure. Brief earlier treatment for dehydration did not sideline Alito long-term. With lifetime tenure and no mandatory retirement age, the absence of public signals or procedural triggers has kept probabilities for an exit this year below even odds. Any late-year development would still require Senate confirmation of a successor under the current composition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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