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Elecciones·Primaria De Dakota Del Sur

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL
Elecciones·Primaria De Dakota Del Sur

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL

Nikki Gronli 96.0%

Scott Schlagel 2.4%

Billy Mawhiney 2.3%

Polymarket

$11,760 Vol.

Nikki Gronli 96.0%

Scott Schlagel 2.4%

Billy Mawhiney 2.3%

Polymarket

$11,760 Vol.

Nikki Gronli

$2,359 Vol.

96%

Scott Schlagel

$4,960 Vol.

2%

Billy Mawhiney

$4,441 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% implied probability to win South Dakota's at-large congressional district Democratic primary on June 2, reflecting Billy Mawhiney's February withdrawal that consolidated support behind her as the experienced former USDA Rural Development State Director and party-backed candidate. Scott Schlagel's longshot bid lacks comparable momentum or resources in a low-turnout primary expected to draw few Democratic voters amid the state's Republican dominance. Her recent ballot qualification with strong signature validation further cements her frontrunner status. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, major endorsement shift to Schlagel, or grassroots surge, though structural advantages and short timeline make upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$11,760
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% implied probability to win South Dakota's at-large congressional district Democratic primary on June 2, reflecting Billy Mawhiney's February withdrawal that consolidated support behind her as the experienced former USDA Rural Development State Director and party-backed candidate. Scott Schlagel's longshot bid lacks comparable momentum or resources in a low-turnout primary expected to draw few Democratic voters amid the state's Republican dominance. Her recent ballot qualification with strong signature validation further cements her frontrunner status. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, major endorsement shift to Schlagel, or grassroots surge, though structural advantages and short timeline make upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$11,760
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nikki Gronli" con 96%, seguido de "Scott Schlagel" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL" ha generado $11.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL" es "Nikki Gronli" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Scott Schlagel" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de SD-AL" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.