Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture, sidelining the two-time defending AL MVP for 4-6 weeks, has reshaped the 2026 race and elevated the implied probabilities for the remaining contenders. Yordan Alvarez leads trader consensus at 41.4% thanks to his AL-leading slash line, home run pace, and RBI production while staying healthy in a full-time DH/outfield role for the Astros. Bobby Witt Jr. sits at 22.5% on the strength of elite defense, stolen-base volume, and consistent contact for the Royals. Nick Kurtz and Ben Rice follow at 10.8% and 8.9% respectively, buoyed by breakout power and plate discipline amid the Yankees' and Athletics' lineups. Later options such as Julio Rodriguez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. trail as longer shots reflecting steadier but less dominant recent form.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoYordan Alvarez 41.5%
Bobby Witt Jr. 23%
Nick Kurtz 10.8%
Ben Rice 10.1%
$121,223 Vol.
$121,223 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
42%
Bobby Witt Jr.
23%
Nick Kurtz
11%
Ben Rice
9%
Julio Rodríguez
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Jose Ramirez
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 41.5%
Bobby Witt Jr. 23%
Nick Kurtz 10.8%
Ben Rice 10.1%
$121,223 Vol.
$121,223 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
42%
Bobby Witt Jr.
23%
Nick Kurtz
11%
Ben Rice
9%
Julio Rodríguez
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Jose Ramirez
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture, sidelining the two-time defending AL MVP for 4-6 weeks, has reshaped the 2026 race and elevated the implied probabilities for the remaining contenders. Yordan Alvarez leads trader consensus at 41.4% thanks to his AL-leading slash line, home run pace, and RBI production while staying healthy in a full-time DH/outfield role for the Astros. Bobby Witt Jr. sits at 22.5% on the strength of elite defense, stolen-base volume, and consistent contact for the Royals. Nick Kurtz and Ben Rice follow at 10.8% and 8.9% respectively, buoyed by breakout power and plate discipline amid the Yankees' and Athletics' lineups. Later options such as Julio Rodriguez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. trail as longer shots reflecting steadier but less dominant recent form.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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