Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have confirmed Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at approximately 34 mm—well under the 40 mm threshold—solidifying trader consensus at a 99.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems dominated the month, suppressing typical spring showers and limiting rainfall to scattered light events, including early April traces and a mid-month nationwide system delivering 10–60 mm that largely bypassed the capital due to steering patterns. This marks a stark departure from the climatological April average of around 65 mm, with verified daily gauge data showing minimal accumulation. Only an improbable upward revision in KMA's finalized monthly report, due shortly, could challenge this positioning amid inherent measurement precision to 0.1 mm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Seúl en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Seúl en abril?
<40 mm 99.6%
40-45 mm <1%
75 mm o más <1%
45-50 mm <1%
$48,570 Vol.
$48,570 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40 mm
100%
40-45 mm
1%
45-50 mm
<1%
50-55 mm
<1%
55-60 mm
<1%
60-65 mm
<1%
65-70 mm
<1%
70-75 mm
<1%
75 mm o más
<1%
<40 mm 99.6%
40-45 mm <1%
75 mm o más <1%
45-50 mm <1%
$48,570 Vol.
$48,570 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40 mm
$27,220 Vol.
100%
40-45 mm
$2,360 Vol.
1%
45-50 mm
$3,026 Vol.
<1%
50-55 mm
$4,818 Vol.
<1%
55-60 mm
$3,844 Vol.
<1%
60-65 mm
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
65-70 mm
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
70-75 mm
$1,905 Vol.
<1%
75 mm o más
$2,227 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have confirmed Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at approximately 34 mm—well under the 40 mm threshold—solidifying trader consensus at a 99.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems dominated the month, suppressing typical spring showers and limiting rainfall to scattered light events, including early April traces and a mid-month nationwide system delivering 10–60 mm that largely bypassed the capital due to steering patterns. This marks a stark departure from the climatological April average of around 65 mm, with verified daily gauge data showing minimal accumulation. Only an improbable upward revision in KMA's finalized monthly report, due shortly, could challenge this positioning amid inherent measurement precision to 0.1 mm.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volumen
$48,570Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have confirmed Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at approximately 34 mm—well under the 40 mm threshold—solidifying trader consensus at a 99.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems dominated the month, suppressing typical spring showers and limiting rainfall to scattered light events, including early April traces and a mid-month nationwide system delivering 10–60 mm that largely bypassed the capital due to steering patterns. This marks a stark departure from the climatological April average of around 65 mm, with verified daily gauge data showing minimal accumulation. Only an improbable upward revision in KMA's finalized monthly report, due shortly, could challenge this positioning amid inherent measurement precision to 0.1 mm.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$48,570Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have confirmed Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at approximately 34 mm—well under the 40 mm threshold—solidifying trader consensus at a 99.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems dominated the month, suppressing typical spring showers and limiting rainfall to scattered light events, including early April traces and a mid-month nationwide system delivering 10–60 mm that largely bypassed the capital due to steering patterns. This marks a stark departure from the climatological April average of around 65 mm, with verified daily gauge data showing minimal accumulation. Only an improbable upward revision in KMA's finalized monthly report, due shortly, could challenge this positioning amid inherent measurement precision to 0.1 mm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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