Nicolás Maduro remains in federal custody at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center over four months after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military intervention, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty at their March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, who has yet to set a trial date amid motions including a defense bid to dismiss over legal fees disputes. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Venezuelan officials repeatedly demanding his release while the DOJ presses forward without bail. Traders monitor potential shifts from diplomatic negotiations, plea deals, or court rulings that could prompt release, parole, or house arrest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,609,660 Vol.
31 ene 2026
31 de diciembre
20%
$2,609,660 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$214,211 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in federal custody at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center over four months after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military intervention, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty at their March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, who has yet to set a trial date amid motions including a defense bid to dismiss over legal fees disputes. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Venezuelan officials repeatedly demanding his release while the DOJ presses forward without bail. Traders monitor potential shifts from diplomatic negotiations, plea deals, or court rulings that could prompt release, parole, or house arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,609,660Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in federal custody at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center over four months after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military intervention, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty at their March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, who has yet to set a trial date amid motions including a defense bid to dismiss over legal fees disputes. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Venezuelan officials repeatedly demanding his release while the DOJ presses forward without bail. Traders monitor potential shifts from diplomatic negotiations, plea deals, or court rulings that could prompt release, parole, or house arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,609,660Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in federal custody at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center over four months after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military intervention, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York. He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty at their March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, who has yet to set a trial date amid motions including a defense bid to dismiss over legal fees disputes. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Venezuelan officials repeatedly demanding his release while the DOJ presses forward without bail. Traders monitor potential shifts from diplomatic negotiations, plea deals, or court rulings that could prompt release, parole, or house arrest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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