Skip to main content
icon for ¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

icon for ¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

Ningún James Bond elegido 70%

Callum Turner 5.1%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton 2.1%

Polymarket

$2,053,946 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido 70%

Callum Turner 5.1%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton 2.1%

Polymarket

$2,053,946 Vol.

icon for Ningún James Bond elegido

Ningún James Bond elegido

$259,449 Vol.

70%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$130,833 Vol.

5%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$244,481 Vol.

3%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton

$115,588 Vol.

2%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$104,396 Vol.

2%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$34,457 Vol.

2%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$151,764 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$301,163 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$36,362 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$219,750 Vol.

<1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy

Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy

$78,948 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$184,516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$71,003 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$83,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$37,448 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April 2026 CinemaCon remarks urging patience amid Bond 26's protracted development—script by Steven Knight, Denis Villeneuve directing post-Dune: Part Three, and filming eyed for 2027. No official casting announcement has materialized despite years of rumors, reinforcing the frontrunner status for inaction. Callum Turner leads alternatives at 5.1% on persistent betting market buzz from platforms like Kalshi and his rising profile in Masters of the Air, though he sidestepped speculation at Berlinale in February. Fading contenders like Aaron Taylor-Johnson (1.7%) reflect cooled industry narrative, with traders eyeing potential shortlist reveals later this year as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,053,946
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April 2026 CinemaCon remarks urging patience amid Bond 26's protracted development—script by Steven Knight, Denis Villeneuve directing post-Dune: Part Three, and filming eyed for 2027. No official casting announcement has materialized despite years of rumors, reinforcing the frontrunner status for inaction. Callum Turner leads alternatives at 5.1% on persistent betting market buzz from platforms like Kalshi and his rising profile in Masters of the Air, though he sidestepped speculation at Berlinale in February. Fading contenders like Aaron Taylor-Johnson (1.7%) reflect cooled industry narrative, with traders eyeing potential shortlist reveals later this year as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,053,946
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 70%, seguido de "Callum Turner" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" ha generado $2.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Callum Turner" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.