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Deportes·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Deportes·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 38%

Munetaka Murakami 20%

Kyle Schwarber 11%

Shohei Ohtani 8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Judge 38%

Munetaka Murakami 20%

Kyle Schwarber 11%

Shohei Ohtani 8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Judge

$26 Vol.

38%

Munetaka Murakami

$26 Vol.

20%

Kyle Schwarber

$10 Vol.

11%

Shohei Ohtani

$31 Vol.

8%

Cal Raleigh

$10 Vol.

6%

Elly De La Cruz

$10 Vol.

4%

Junior Caminero

$10 Vol.

4%

Matt Olson

$10 Vol.

4%

James Wood

$10 Vol.

3%

Nick Kurtz

$10 Vol.

3%

Brandon Lowe

$10 Vol.

2%

Yordan Alvarez

$10 Vol.

14%

George Springer

$32 Vol.

2%

Mike Trout

$10 Vol.

2%

Ben Rice

$10 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$10 Vol.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$10 Vol.

2%

Pete Alonso

$10 Vol.

2%

Rafael Devers

$10 Vol.

2%

Giancarlo Stanton

$10 Vol.

2%

Manny Machado

$10 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$10 Vol.

2%

Sal Stewart

$10 Vol.

2%

Eugenio Suarez

$10 Vol.

2%

Juan Soto

$10 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability for MLB home runs leader, tied with Munetaka Murakami at 12 homers through roughly 30 games, but Judge's proven track record as a perennial AL slugging champion and Yankee Stadium's short right-field porch give him the edge in projections. Murakami's explosive start with the White Sox, including a MLB-leading 12th homer on April 28—a go-ahead three-run shot—and homers in five straight games, has propelled him to 20%, highlighting his raw power transition from NPB. Kyle Schwarber's nine homers pace the Phillies' leadoff surge amid a hot April, supporting his 9.5% share, while Shohei Ohtani's slower early pace tempers his 7.5% odds despite two-way star power. Early-season volatility, health, and schedule strength will shape the race.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$325
Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability for MLB home runs leader, tied with Munetaka Murakami at 12 homers through roughly 30 games, but Judge's proven track record as a perennial AL slugging champion and Yankee Stadium's short right-field porch give him the edge in projections. Murakami's explosive start with the White Sox, including a MLB-leading 12th homer on April 28—a go-ahead three-run shot—and homers in five straight games, has propelled him to 20%, highlighting his raw power transition from NPB. Kyle Schwarber's nine homers pace the Phillies' leadoff surge amid a hot April, supporting his 9.5% share, while Shohei Ohtani's slower early pace tempers his 7.5% odds despite two-way star power. Early-season volatility, health, and schedule strength will shape the race.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$325
Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 25 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aaron Judge" con 38%, seguido de "Munetaka Murakami" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "MLB: Home Runs Leader", explora los 25 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MLB: Home Runs Leader" es "Aaron Judge" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Munetaka Murakami" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MLB: Home Runs Leader" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.