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Deportes·Juego Perfecto

MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

icon for MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
Deportes·Juego Perfecto

MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

15% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
15% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The rarity of perfect games in MLB history underpins the 75% implied probability on "No" for the 2026 season.** Only 24 official perfect games have occurred across more than 150 years and roughly 243,000 contests, with the most recent by Domingo Germán in June 2023. No perfect games have been recorded in 2024, 2025, or the first two-plus months of 2026, consistent with extended droughts that have spanned a decade or more. Modern factors sustaining this scarcity include expanded bullpen usage that limits complete games, high strikeout rates paired with elevated walk and hit-by-pitch totals, and defensive shifts or positioning that still allow baserunners via errors or other means. A typical 162-game season features thousands of starts, yet the combination of pitching dominance, flawless defense, and zero baserunners remains statistically improbable—roughly a low-single-digit percentage chance per full season based on historical rates. With the 2026 campaign only about one-quarter complete and no standout developments in pitching staffs or rule changes altering these dynamics, traders view the odds of at least one perfect game materializing by season's end as limited. Upset potential exists in outlier performances from aces on strong defensive clubs, but the track record favors continuation of the drought.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,818
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The rarity of perfect games in MLB history underpins the 75% implied probability on "No" for the 2026 season.** Only 24 official perfect games have occurred across more than 150 years and roughly 243,000 contests, with the most recent by Domingo Germán in June 2023. No perfect games have been recorded in 2024, 2025, or the first two-plus months of 2026, consistent with extended droughts that have spanned a decade or more. Modern factors sustaining this scarcity include expanded bullpen usage that limits complete games, high strikeout rates paired with elevated walk and hit-by-pitch totals, and defensive shifts or positioning that still allow baserunners via errors or other means. A typical 162-game season features thousands of starts, yet the combination of pitching dominance, flawless defense, and zero baserunners remains statistically improbable—roughly a low-single-digit percentage chance per full season based on historical rates. With the 2026 campaign only about one-quarter complete and no standout developments in pitching staffs or rule changes altering these dynamics, traders view the odds of at least one perfect game materializing by season's end as limited. Upset potential exists in outlier performances from aces on strong defensive clubs, but the track record favors continuation of the drought.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,818
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 19% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 19¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" es 19% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 19% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.