Traders' near-unanimous consensus (98.4% implied probability) on the 85–90 per 100,000 bracket for Week 16's CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stems from the Week 15 report showing 85.2 per 100,000 overall—the third highest since 2010–2011—amid sharply declining activity, with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 accounting for delays) and influenza A low across regions. FluSight models forecast minimal new admissions (0.33 per 100,000 nationally), projecting a total around 85.6, as the season winds down with outpatient positivity below baseline. The Week 16 FluView, due early May, will finalize data; upward revisions from delayed reporting or an improbable late surge could nudge it toward 90+, while stable low activity keeps it anchored.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
85–90 99.5%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
100+ <1%
$7,690 Vol.
$7,690 Vol.
1 may 2026
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
100%
90–95
<1%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 99.5%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
100+ <1%
$7,690 Vol.
$7,690 Vol.
1 may 2026
<80
$728 Vol.
1%
80–85
$2,548 Vol.
<1%
85–90
$3,281 Vol.
100%
90–95
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
95–100
$805 Vol.
<1%
100+
$640 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders' near-unanimous consensus (98.4% implied probability) on the 85–90 per 100,000 bracket for Week 16's CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stems from the Week 15 report showing 85.2 per 100,000 overall—the third highest since 2010–2011—amid sharply declining activity, with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 accounting for delays) and influenza A low across regions. FluSight models forecast minimal new admissions (0.33 per 100,000 nationally), projecting a total around 85.6, as the season winds down with outpatient positivity below baseline. The Week 16 FluView, due early May, will finalize data; upward revisions from delayed reporting or an improbable late surge could nudge it toward 90+, while stable low activity keeps it anchored.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volumen
$7,690Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders' near-unanimous consensus (98.4% implied probability) on the 85–90 per 100,000 bracket for Week 16's CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stems from the Week 15 report showing 85.2 per 100,000 overall—the third highest since 2010–2011—amid sharply declining activity, with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 accounting for delays) and influenza A low across regions. FluSight models forecast minimal new admissions (0.33 per 100,000 nationally), projecting a total around 85.6, as the season winds down with outpatient positivity below baseline. The Week 16 FluView, due early May, will finalize data; upward revisions from delayed reporting or an improbable late surge could nudge it toward 90+, while stable low activity keeps it anchored.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$7,690Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-unanimous consensus (98.4% implied probability) on the 85–90 per 100,000 bracket for Week 16's CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stems from the Week 15 report showing 85.2 per 100,000 overall—the third highest since 2010–2011—amid sharply declining activity, with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 accounting for delays) and influenza A low across regions. FluSight models forecast minimal new admissions (0.33 per 100,000 nationally), projecting a total around 85.6, as the season winds down with outpatient positivity below baseline. The Week 16 FluView, due early May, will finalize data; upward revisions from delayed reporting or an improbable late surge could nudge it toward 90+, while stable low activity keeps it anchored.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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