The CDC's FluSurv-NET data through Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–11—with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after reporting lags), down from 0.7 the prior week. This sustained decline in seasonal flu activity, evidenced by outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) at 1.9% (below the 3.1% baseline), underpins trader consensus assigning 95.4% implied probability to the 85–90 range for Week 16, as minimal new admissions are anticipated amid waning influenza A and B circulation. Revisions from delayed reports or an improbable late-season surge could push it toward 90+, but FluSight ensemble forecasts predict further decreases in hospital admissions. The Week 16 FluView, due imminently, will provide confirmatory data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
85–90 94.8%
90–95 4.1%
80–85 2.4%
<80 1.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
<80
2%
80–85
2%
85–90
95%
90–95
4%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 94.8%
90–95 4.1%
80–85 2.4%
<80 1.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
<80
$813 Vol.
2%
80–85
$1,428 Vol.
2%
85–90
$1,890 Vol.
95%
90–95
$1,077 Vol.
4%
95–100
$866 Vol.
<1%
100+
$639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The CDC's FluSurv-NET data through Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–11—with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after reporting lags), down from 0.7 the prior week. This sustained decline in seasonal flu activity, evidenced by outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) at 1.9% (below the 3.1% baseline), underpins trader consensus assigning 95.4% implied probability to the 85–90 range for Week 16, as minimal new admissions are anticipated amid waning influenza A and B circulation. Revisions from delayed reports or an improbable late-season surge could push it toward 90+, but FluSight ensemble forecasts predict further decreases in hospital admissions. The Week 16 FluView, due imminently, will provide confirmatory data.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volumen
$6,713Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The CDC's FluSurv-NET data through Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–11—with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after reporting lags), down from 0.7 the prior week. This sustained decline in seasonal flu activity, evidenced by outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) at 1.9% (below the 3.1% baseline), underpins trader consensus assigning 95.4% implied probability to the 85–90 range for Week 16, as minimal new admissions are anticipated amid waning influenza A and B circulation. Revisions from delayed reports or an improbable late-season surge could push it toward 90+, but FluSight ensemble forecasts predict further decreases in hospital admissions. The Week 16 FluView, due imminently, will provide confirmatory data.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$6,713Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The CDC's FluSurv-NET data through Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–11—with weekly rates dropping to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after reporting lags), down from 0.7 the prior week. This sustained decline in seasonal flu activity, evidenced by outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) at 1.9% (below the 3.1% baseline), underpins trader consensus assigning 95.4% implied probability to the 85–90 range for Week 16, as minimal new admissions are anticipated amid waning influenza A and B circulation. Revisions from delayed reports or an improbable late-season surge could push it toward 90+, but FluSight ensemble forecasts predict further decreases in hospital admissions. The Week 16 FluView, due imminently, will provide confirmatory data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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