**Elon Musk’s baseline posting rate of roughly 8–12 tweets per day on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 13–15 window.** With no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or viral controversies surfacing in the past 48 hours to accelerate activity, the market has priced the sub-40 range at 67.5 percent as the clear favorite, while 40–64 sits at 31.5 percent and every higher bucket trades below 2 percent. Weekend timing adds modest downward pressure, as historical patterns show lighter engagement on Saturdays and Sundays compared with weekdays. Recent comparable seven- and eight-day markets have resolved in the lower bands when no catalysts emerged, reinforcing the current consensus that three-day totals will likely land well below 40 absent an unexpected surge. Traders are watching Monday’s news cycle and any late-weekend replies for signs of momentum shifts, but the skin-in-the-game odds reflect a steady, unremarkable posting rhythm rather than a spike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 13 de junio al 15 de junio de 2026?
¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 13 de junio al 15 de junio de 2026?
<40 68%
40-64 32%
65-89 1.6%
90-114 <1%
$355,658 Vol.
$355,658 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<40
68%
40-64
32%
65-89
2%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 68%
40-64 32%
65-89 1.6%
90-114 <1%
$355,658 Vol.
$355,658 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<40
$73,372 Vol.
68%
40-64
$53,577 Vol.
32%
65-89
$57,050 Vol.
2%
90-114
$64,459 Vol.
<1%
115-139
$39,750 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$24,774 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$13,425 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$13,642 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$9,681 Vol.
<1%
240+
$14,104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s baseline posting rate of roughly 8–12 tweets per day on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 13–15 window.** With no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or viral controversies surfacing in the past 48 hours to accelerate activity, the market has priced the sub-40 range at 67.5 percent as the clear favorite, while 40–64 sits at 31.5 percent and every higher bucket trades below 2 percent.
Weekend timing adds modest downward pressure, as historical patterns show lighter engagement on Saturdays and Sundays compared with weekdays. Recent comparable seven- and eight-day markets have resolved in the lower bands when no catalysts emerged, reinforcing the current consensus that three-day totals will likely land well below 40 absent an unexpected surge. Traders are watching Monday’s news cycle and any late-weekend replies for signs of momentum shifts, but the skin-in-the-game odds reflect a steady, unremarkable posting rhythm rather than a spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volumen
$355,658Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s baseline posting rate of roughly 8–12 tweets per day on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 13–15 window.** With no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or viral controversies surfacing in the past 48 hours to accelerate activity, the market has priced the sub-40 range at 67.5 percent as the clear favorite, while 40–64 sits at 31.5 percent and every higher bucket trades below 2 percent.
Weekend timing adds modest downward pressure, as historical patterns show lighter engagement on Saturdays and Sundays compared with weekdays. Recent comparable seven- and eight-day markets have resolved in the lower bands when no catalysts emerged, reinforcing the current consensus that three-day totals will likely land well below 40 absent an unexpected surge. Traders are watching Monday’s news cycle and any late-weekend replies for signs of momentum shifts, but the skin-in-the-game odds reflect a steady, unremarkable posting rhythm rather than a spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$355,658Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk’s baseline posting rate of roughly 8–12 tweets per day on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 13–15 window.** With no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or viral controversies surfacing in the past 48 hours to accelerate activity, the market has priced the sub-40 range at 67.5 percent as the clear favorite, while 40–64 sits at 31.5 percent and every higher bucket trades below 2 percent. Weekend timing adds modest downward pressure, as historical patterns show lighter engagement on Saturdays and Sundays compared with weekdays. Recent comparable seven- and eight-day markets have resolved in the lower bands when no catalysts emerged, reinforcing the current consensus that three-day totals will likely land well below 40 absent an unexpected surge. Traders are watching Monday’s news cycle and any late-weekend replies for signs of momentum shifts, but the skin-in-the-game odds reflect a steady, unremarkable posting rhythm rather than a spike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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