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icon for Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?
Geopolítica·Hegseth

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

icon for Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?
Geopolítica·Hegseth

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

39% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
39% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Army Secretary Dan Driscoll remaining in his post past June 30 at 59.5% implied probability, driven by his April 7 statement to the Washington Post affirming no plans to resign amid tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, coupled with active duties like his April 29 visit to the 7th Army Training Command in Germany and inclusion in official Army rosters as of April 22. Recent speculation peaked after Driscoll's April 16 congressional testimony praising ousted Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George—fired by Hegseth—fueling rumors of Driscoll's potential removal, including unconfirmed reports of a blocked ouster attempt. Absent official White House action or Senate involvement for a replacement, his continuity holds as the baseline amid Pentagon leadership frictions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$42
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Army Secretary Dan Driscoll remaining in his post past June 30 at 59.5% implied probability, driven by his April 7 statement to the Washington Post affirming no plans to resign amid tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, coupled with active duties like his April 29 visit to the 7th Army Training Command in Germany and inclusion in official Army rosters as of April 22. Recent speculation peaked after Driscoll's April 16 congressional testimony praising ousted Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George—fired by Hegseth—fueling rumors of Driscoll's potential removal, including unconfirmed reports of a blocked ouster attempt. Absent official White House action or Senate involvement for a replacement, his continuity holds as the baseline amid Pentagon leadership frictions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$42
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Driscoll ceases to be United States Secretary of the Army for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Driscoll's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dan Driscoll and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 39% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 39¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?" es 39% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 39% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.