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icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?
Política·California

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?
Política·California

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

8% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
8% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. California AB 2624, dubbed the "Stop Nick Shirley Act" by Republican critics, remains stalled in the Assembly Appropriations Committee after advancing through policy committees on Privacy and Consumer Protection, Judiciary, and Public Safety in April 2026 with amendments. Authored by Assemblymember Mia Bonta (D), the bill establishes privacy protections for immigration support services providers facing harassment, but sparked backlash over potential curbs on investigative journalism following conservative influencer Nick Shirley's 2025-2026 videos alleging fraud at immigrant-run facilities. No hearings scheduled since its April 27 re-referral, trader consensus reflects significant barriers including fiscal review scrutiny, free speech concerns from legal experts, and the tight May 29 house-of-origin passage deadline, making enactment by June 30 unlikely despite Democratic supermajorities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$460
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. California AB 2624, dubbed the "Stop Nick Shirley Act" by Republican critics, remains stalled in the Assembly Appropriations Committee after advancing through policy committees on Privacy and Consumer Protection, Judiciary, and Public Safety in April 2026 with amendments. Authored by Assemblymember Mia Bonta (D), the bill establishes privacy protections for immigration support services providers facing harassment, but sparked backlash over potential curbs on investigative journalism following conservative influencer Nick Shirley's 2025-2026 videos alleging fraud at immigrant-run facilities. No hearings scheduled since its April 27 re-referral, trader consensus reflects significant barriers including fiscal review scrutiny, free speech concerns from legal experts, and the tight May 29 house-of-origin passage deadline, making enactment by June 30 unlikely despite Democratic supermajorities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$460
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 8% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 8¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" es 8% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 8% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.