The cancellation of The Bachelorette season 22, starring Taylor Frankie Paul, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflected in the 74.5% implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” ABC pulled the already-filmed season days before its scheduled March 22, 2026 premiere after a 2023 video resurfaced showing Paul in a physical altercation with her ex-partner amid an active domestic violence investigation; Disney Entertainment Television cited the footage and shifted focus to supporting those involved. This unprecedented pre-air cancellation eliminated any path to a televised winner, keeping individual suitor odds suppressed despite Doug Mason’s modest 7.5% as the reported frontrunner from unaired filming. No revival or alternative resolution has emerged in the intervening months, reinforcing market consensus around outright cancellation over any cast member prevailing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la temporada 22 de Bachelorette
Otro (Temporada cancelada) 86%
Doug Mason 7.1%
Richard Van De Water 1.6%
Johnnie LaRossa 1.1%
$2,433,364 Vol.
$2,433,364 Vol.
Otro (Temporada cancelada)
78%
Doug Mason
7%
Richard Van De Water
2%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Clayton Johnson
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Josh Harward
<1%
Otro (Temporada cancelada) 86%
Doug Mason 7.1%
Richard Van De Water 1.6%
Johnnie LaRossa 1.1%
$2,433,364 Vol.
$2,433,364 Vol.
Otro (Temporada cancelada)
78%
Doug Mason
7%
Richard Van De Water
2%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Clayton Johnson
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Josh Harward
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The cancellation of The Bachelorette season 22, starring Taylor Frankie Paul, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflected in the 74.5% implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” ABC pulled the already-filmed season days before its scheduled March 22, 2026 premiere after a 2023 video resurfaced showing Paul in a physical altercation with her ex-partner amid an active domestic violence investigation; Disney Entertainment Television cited the footage and shifted focus to supporting those involved. This unprecedented pre-air cancellation eliminated any path to a televised winner, keeping individual suitor odds suppressed despite Doug Mason’s modest 7.5% as the reported frontrunner from unaired filming. No revival or alternative resolution has emerged in the intervening months, reinforcing market consensus around outright cancellation over any cast member prevailing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes