River Plate holds a slight 48.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this Torneo Apertura semifinal first leg at Estadio Monumental, buoyed by home advantage and a commanding 2-0 quarterfinal win over Gimnasia y Esgrima that advanced them despite late injuries to Gonzalo Montiel and Marcos Acuña—both expected available per coach Eduardo Coudet. Rosario Central, at 28.5% with a high 33.5% draw likelihood, earned their spot by overcoming Racing amid delays but face key absences including Jaminton Campaz, Juan Cruz Komar, Gaspar Duarte, and Juan Giménez, weakening their defense. Recent 0-0 league draw underscores the matchup's tightness, amplified by Ángel Di María's debut for Rosario against his former rivals, fueling a competitive edge without clear dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf CA River Plate wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...If CA River Plate wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...River Plate holds a slight 48.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this Torneo Apertura semifinal first leg at Estadio Monumental, buoyed by home advantage and a commanding 2-0 quarterfinal win over Gimnasia y Esgrima that advanced them despite late injuries to Gonzalo Montiel and Marcos Acuña—both expected available per coach Eduardo Coudet. Rosario Central, at 28.5% with a high 33.5% draw likelihood, earned their spot by overcoming Racing amid delays but face key absences including Jaminton Campaz, Juan Cruz Komar, Gaspar Duarte, and Juan Giménez, weakening their defense. Recent 0-0 league draw underscores the matchup's tightness, amplified by Ángel Di María's debut for Rosario against his former rivals, fueling a competitive edge without clear dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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