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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 14%

Erling Haaland 8%

Mikel Oyarzabal 8%

Polymarket

$8,877,197 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 14%

Erling Haaland 8%

Mikel Oyarzabal 8%

Polymarket

$8,877,197 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

$420,826 Vol.

16%

Harry Kane

$288,003 Vol.

14%

Erling Haaland

$250,593 Vol.

8%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$169,245 Vol.

8%

Kai Havertz

$96,288 Vol.

7%

Lionel Messi

$307,787 Vol.

5%

Lamine Yamal

$237,045 Vol.

4%

Julian Alvarez

$192,838 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$232,937 Vol.

4%

Michael Olise

$297,965 Vol.

4%

Vinicius Junior

$168,164 Vol.

4%

Folarin Balogun

$23,804 Vol.

3%

Ferran Torres

$265,809 Vol.

3%

Ousmane Dembele

$165,625 Vol.

2%

Cody Gakpo

$83,623 Vol.

2%

Lautaro Martinez

$151,914 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$186,713 Vol.

1%

Romelu Lukaku

$13,402 Vol.

1%

Deniz Undav

$197,912 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$188,976 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$110,255 Vol.

1%

Igor Thiago

$141,140 Vol.

1%

Donyell Malen

$26,426 Vol.

1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$156,958 Vol.

1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$103,838 Vol.

1%

Rafael Leao

$712,554 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$133,452 Vol.

1%

Bukayo Saka

$105,538 Vol.

1%

Depay Memphis

$54,507 Vol.

1%

Dani Olmo

$185,620 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$105,342 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$119,230 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$146,212 Vol.

<1%

Endrick

$39,535 Vol.

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$71,173 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$915,242 Vol.

<1%

Memphis Depay

$72,660 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$198,181 Vol.

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$52,486 Vol.

<1%

Sadio Mane

$68,219 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$123,903 Vol.

<1%

Scott McTominay

$144,313 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$200,155 Vol.

<1%

Amad Diallo

$180,929 Vol.

<1%

Edin Džeko

$140,791 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$117,382 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$118,725 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$96,076 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$74,665 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$173,061 Vol.

<1%

Tim Payne

$3,198 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$114,188 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market as proven World Cup scorers with strong club form heading into the expanded 2026 tournament, though their modest edges reflect deep competition from other elite finishers. France’s captain enters off consistent output for Real Madrid despite minor injury setbacks, while Kane’s record-breaking Bayern Munich season underscores his clinical finishing in high-stakes matches. Erling Haaland and Mikel Oyarzabal sit just behind, supported by Norway’s attacking threat and Spain’s fluid forward line, respectively. With the group stage only days old and no player yet separating through multiple goals, the bunched pricing captures uncertainty over which national team advances deepest and which individuals capitalize on open play, set pieces, or penalty opportunities in a 48-team field.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,877,197
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market as proven World Cup scorers with strong club form heading into the expanded 2026 tournament, though their modest edges reflect deep competition from other elite finishers. France’s captain enters off consistent output for Real Madrid despite minor injury setbacks, while Kane’s record-breaking Bayern Munich season underscores his clinical finishing in high-stakes matches. Erling Haaland and Mikel Oyarzabal sit just behind, supported by Norway’s attacking threat and Spain’s fluid forward line, respectively. With the group stage only days old and no player yet separating through multiple goals, the bunched pricing captures uncertainty over which national team advances deepest and which individuals capitalize on open play, set pieces, or penalty opportunities in a 48-team field.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,877,197
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

23%
icon for Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

29%
icon for Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

11%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 16%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" has generated $8.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" is "Kylian Mbappe" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.