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Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

Jackie Young 44%

A'ja Wilson 36%

Caitlin Clark 35%

Alyssa Thomas 28%

Polymarket
NEW

Jackie Young 44%

A'ja Wilson 36%

Caitlin Clark 35%

Alyssa Thomas 28%

Polymarket
NEW

Jackie Young

$0 Vol.

44%

A'ja Wilson

$0 Vol.

36%

Caitlin Clark

$0 Vol.

35%

Alyssa Thomas

$0 Vol.

28%

Breanna Stewart

$0 Vol.

27%

Paige Bueckers

$0 Vol.

25%

Gabby Williams

$0 Vol.

22%

Rhyne Howard

$0 Vol.

21%

Kelsey Plum

$0 Vol.

19%

Allisha Gray

$0 Vol.

17%

Sabrina Ionescu

$0 Vol.

17%

Satou Sabally

$0 Vol.

16%

Nneka Ogwumike

$0 Vol.

13%

Napheesa Collier

$0 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 WNBA MVP market shows an exceptionally tight race among veterans, with A'ja Wilson and Napheesa Collier tied at 49% implied probabilities after Wilson's record fourth MVP and Las Vegas Aces championship in 2025, where she led in PPG at 23.4 amid Collier's strong scoring and Kelsey Plum's consistent production. Recent April free agency moves locked in key stars—Wilson's three-year supermax with Aces, Collier's one-year Lynx deal, and Plum's return to Sparks—bolstering contenders like Phoenix (Alyssa Thomas assists leader), Dallas (Satou Sabally), and New York (Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu). Expansion draft and roster stability amplify parity, keeping Alyssa Thomas, Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard, and others clustered near 46%, while rookies Caitlin Clark and Paige Bueckers trail due to unproven sophomore leaps amid deeper field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 WNBA MVP market shows an exceptionally tight race among veterans, with A'ja Wilson and Napheesa Collier tied at 49% implied probabilities after Wilson's record fourth MVP and Las Vegas Aces championship in 2025, where she led in PPG at 23.4 amid Collier's strong scoring and Kelsey Plum's consistent production. Recent April free agency moves locked in key stars—Wilson's three-year supermax with Aces, Collier's one-year Lynx deal, and Plum's return to Sparks—bolstering contenders like Phoenix (Alyssa Thomas assists leader), Dallas (Satou Sabally), and New York (Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu). Expansion draft and roster stability amplify parity, keeping Alyssa Thomas, Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard, and others clustered near 46%, while rookies Caitlin Clark and Paige Bueckers trail due to unproven sophomore leaps amid deeper field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 36%, followed by "Caitlin Clark" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "A'ja Wilson" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caitlin Clark" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.