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Sports·Soccer

Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?

icon for Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?
Sports·Soccer

Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?

31% chance
Polymarket
NEW
31% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayern Munich are named the champion of all the following competitions for the 2025-26 season: Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If any of the listed competitions is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed club has won all listed competitions within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the organizing bodies of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bayern Munich's treble hopes—Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and UEFA Champions League—rest on winning the DFB-Pokal final on May 23 and navigating Champions League semi-finals against PSG, following their April 19 clinching of a record 35th Bundesliga title with an unbeaten streak spanning eight games under Vincent Kompany. Traders' 71.5% implied probability for "No" reflects the formidable path ahead, including a grueling first-leg semi-final draw versus PSG amid key injuries to Serge Gnabry (adductor, long-term out), Raphaël Guerreiro (hamstring), and others testing squad depth despite Harry Kane's scoring form and recent knockout wins like 4-3 over Real Madrid. Historical rarity of completing the double (Pokal and Champions League) post-Bundesliga dominance tempers optimism in this skin-in-the-game consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayern Munich are named the champion of all the following competitions for the 2025-26 season: Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If any of the listed competitions is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed club has won all listed competitions within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the organizing bodies of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,502
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayern Munich are named the champion of all the following competitions for the 2025-26 season: Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If any of the listed competitions is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed club has won all listed competitions within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the organizing bodies of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayern Munich are named the champion of all the following competitions for the 2025-26 season: Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If any of the listed competitions is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed club has won all listed competitions within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the organizing bodies of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bayern Munich's treble hopes—Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and UEFA Champions League—rest on winning the DFB-Pokal final on May 23 and navigating Champions League semi-finals against PSG, following their April 19 clinching of a record 35th Bundesliga title with an unbeaten streak spanning eight games under Vincent Kompany. Traders' 71.5% implied probability for "No" reflects the formidable path ahead, including a grueling first-leg semi-final draw versus PSG amid key injuries to Serge Gnabry (adductor, long-term out), Raphaël Guerreiro (hamstring), and others testing squad depth despite Harry Kane's scoring form and recent knockout wins like 4-3 over Real Madrid. Historical rarity of completing the double (Pokal and Champions League) post-Bundesliga dominance tempers optimism in this skin-in-the-game consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayern Munich are named the champion of all the following competitions for the 2025-26 season: Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If any of the listed competitions is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed club has won all listed competitions within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the organizing bodies of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,502
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayern Munich are named the champion of all the following competitions for the 2025-26 season: Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If any of the listed competitions is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed club has won all listed competitions within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the organizing bodies of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 31% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 31¢, the market collectively assigns a 31% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?" is 31% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 31% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.