Crystal Palace leads trader consensus at 48% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa Conference League after securing a crucial 2-1 away victory in the first leg semifinal against Shakhtar Donetsk, building on their 4-2 aggregate quarterfinal triumph over Fiorentina despite a narrow second-leg loss. Strasbourg holds steady at 23.1% following a resilient 1-1 draw at Rayo Vallecano, bolstered by their dramatic 4-2 aggregate comeback against Mainz in the quarters, with a home second leg ahead. Rayo Vallecano (16.5%) and Shakhtar (12.5%) remain competitive, but Palace's momentum, home advantage in the return leg on May 7, and strong recent European form from the league phase onward underpin their frontrunner status among these four historic semifinalists—Shakhtar the only prior continental winner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrystal Palace 47%
Strasbourg 23.0%
Rayo Vallecano 17%
Shakhtar Donetsk 13%
$47,796 Vol.
$47,796 Vol.
Crystal Palace
47%
Strasbourg
23%
Rayo Vallecano
17%
Shakhtar Donetsk
13%
Crystal Palace 47%
Strasbourg 23.0%
Rayo Vallecano 17%
Shakhtar Donetsk 13%
$47,796 Vol.
$47,796 Vol.
Crystal Palace
47%
Strasbourg
23%
Rayo Vallecano
17%
Shakhtar Donetsk
13%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Crystal Palace leads trader consensus at 48% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa Conference League after securing a crucial 2-1 away victory in the first leg semifinal against Shakhtar Donetsk, building on their 4-2 aggregate quarterfinal triumph over Fiorentina despite a narrow second-leg loss. Strasbourg holds steady at 23.1% following a resilient 1-1 draw at Rayo Vallecano, bolstered by their dramatic 4-2 aggregate comeback against Mainz in the quarters, with a home second leg ahead. Rayo Vallecano (16.5%) and Shakhtar (12.5%) remain competitive, but Palace's momentum, home advantage in the return leg on May 7, and strong recent European form from the league phase onward underpin their frontrunner status among these four historic semifinalists—Shakhtar the only prior continental winner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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