Michael Olise and Achraf Hakimi share the UEFA Champions League lead with 6 assists apiece entering the semi-finals, closely trailed by Vinícius Júnior also on 6 despite Real Madrid's quarter-final exit to Bayern München, fueling trader consensus around their 52.5%, 48.4%, and 40.0% implied probabilities. Olise edges ahead on Bayern's strong knockout form, including his standout duels won and chance creation at the Bernabéu, while Hakimi's historic milestone as the first defender with 5+ assists in back-to-back UCL campaigns—capped by his sixth in the April 28 first-leg semi-final against Bayern—keeps PSG's right-back in contention. With second legs and a potential final ahead for semi-finalists Bayern, PSG, Arsenal (Trossard at 10.3%), and Atlético Madrid (Griezmann at 10.5%), plus Kvaratskhelia's recent surge at 25.5%, the race remains tight amid favorable paths for survivors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMichael Olise 55%
Achraf Hakimi 47.8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 1%
Leandro Trossard 1.0%
$55,063 Vol.
$55,063 Vol.
Michael Olise
55%
Achraf Hakimi
48%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
26%
Leandro Trossard
10%
Antoine Griezmann
11%
Vinícius Júnior
40%
Michael Olise 55%
Achraf Hakimi 47.8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 1%
Leandro Trossard 1.0%
$55,063 Vol.
$55,063 Vol.
Michael Olise
55%
Achraf Hakimi
48%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
26%
Leandro Trossard
10%
Antoine Griezmann
11%
Vinícius Júnior
40%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael Olise and Achraf Hakimi share the UEFA Champions League lead with 6 assists apiece entering the semi-finals, closely trailed by Vinícius Júnior also on 6 despite Real Madrid's quarter-final exit to Bayern München, fueling trader consensus around their 52.5%, 48.4%, and 40.0% implied probabilities. Olise edges ahead on Bayern's strong knockout form, including his standout duels won and chance creation at the Bernabéu, while Hakimi's historic milestone as the first defender with 5+ assists in back-to-back UCL campaigns—capped by his sixth in the April 28 first-leg semi-final against Bayern—keeps PSG's right-back in contention. With second legs and a potential final ahead for semi-finalists Bayern, PSG, Arsenal (Trossard at 10.3%), and Atlético Madrid (Griezmann at 10.5%), plus Kvaratskhelia's recent surge at 25.5%, the race remains tight amid favorable paths for survivors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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