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icon for Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo

Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo

icon for Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo

Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo

Dvalishvili

26% chance
Polymarket

$10,236 Vol.

Dvalishvili

26% chance
Polymarket

$10,236 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Henry Cejudo's status as a 2008 Olympic gold medalist and two-time world freestyle wrestling champion drives trader consensus favoring him at 74% implied probability over Merab Dvalishvili in their Real American Freestyle main event, emphasizing his elite technical throws, mat control, and international pedigree against Dvalishvili's relentless MMA wrestling pace and Georgian national team background. The RAF 08 bout in Philadelphia was abruptly canceled hours before April 18 bell due to Cejudo's freak injury, with no rescheduling announced by late April, yet odds hold firm amid the May 2 cutoff for 50-50 resolution on postponement. Pre-fight presser tension and Dvalishvili's recovery from a nose injury underscored a competitive stylistic matchup, but Cejudo's pure wrestling edges prevail in trader sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner.

This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,236
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Henry Cejudo's status as a 2008 Olympic gold medalist and two-time world freestyle wrestling champion drives trader consensus favoring him at 74% implied probability over Merab Dvalishvili in their Real American Freestyle main event, emphasizing his elite technical throws, mat control, and international pedigree against Dvalishvili's relentless MMA wrestling pace and Georgian national team background. The RAF 08 bout in Philadelphia was abruptly canceled hours before April 18 bell due to Cejudo's freak injury, with no rescheduling announced by late April, yet odds hold firm amid the May 2 cutoff for 50-50 resolution on postponement. Pre-fight presser tension and Dvalishvili's recovery from a nose injury underscored a competitive stylistic matchup, but Cejudo's pure wrestling edges prevail in trader sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner.

This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,236
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" is "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.