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Sports·Golf

PGA Championship: Hole in One?

icon for PGA Championship: Hole in One?
Sports·Golf

PGA Championship: Hole in One?

51% chance
Polymarket
NEW
51% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).Trader consensus prices a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club at even money, balancing the large 156-player field and recent streak of at least one ace in three straight majors—including Si Woo Kim's record 252-yard blast in 2025—against the course's demanding par 3s: a reachable 171-yard fifth with bunkered green, plus lengthy 216-, 229-, and 242-yard tests at holes 14, 17, and 8. No aces occurred in Aronimink's prior 1962 PGA or 2018 BMW Championship, underscoring setup challenges. Thursday's opening-round showers and gusts to 22 mph could soften greens for carry shots, while calmer weekend winds favor precision; early practice-round buzz around returnees like Michael Block adds intrigue without shifting odds yet.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Volume
$0
End Date
May 18, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).Trader consensus prices a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club at even money, balancing the large 156-player field and recent streak of at least one ace in three straight majors—including Si Woo Kim's record 252-yard blast in 2025—against the course's demanding par 3s: a reachable 171-yard fifth with bunkered green, plus lengthy 216-, 229-, and 242-yard tests at holes 14, 17, and 8. No aces occurred in Aronimink's prior 1962 PGA or 2018 BMW Championship, underscoring setup challenges. Thursday's opening-round showers and gusts to 22 mph could soften greens for carry shots, while calmer weekend winds favor precision; early practice-round buzz around returnees like Michael Block adds intrigue without shifting odds yet.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Volume
$0
End Date
May 18, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Championship: Hole in One?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 51% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 51¢, the market collectively assigns a 51% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Championship: Hole in One?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Championship: Hole in One?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "PGA Championship: Hole in One?" is 51% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 51% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "PGA Championship: Hole in One?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.