The Dallas Mavericks' search for a new head coach opened after mutually parting ways with Jason Kidd following a disappointing 26-56 season. Trader consensus favors Sean Sweeney at 58.5% implied probability due to his four prior seasons as Kidd's lead assistant in Dallas, where he helped develop Luka Doncic, combined with his recent success as associate head coach for the Spurs' third-ranked defense. Micah Nori sits at 40% as a top offensive mind and longtime associate of new president Masai Ujiri from their Toronto days. Established NBA coaches like Frank Vogel and Tom Thibodeau hover near 39% on experience and playoff pedigrees, while Dirk Nowitzki and other internal or rising assistants reflect long-shot interest in familiar or developmental options amid a thorough process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNBA: Next Mavericks Head Coach
Sean Sweeney 56%
Billy Donovan 47%
Frank Vogel 45%
Dirk Nowitzki 45%
Sean Sweeney
56%
Billy Donovan
47%
Frank Vogel
45%
Dirk Nowitzki
45%
Tom Thibodeau
38%
Micah Nori
37%
Todd Golden
37%
Tiago Splitter
37%
Nick Nurse
37%
Tommy Lloyd
33%
Sean Sweeney 56%
Billy Donovan 47%
Frank Vogel 45%
Dirk Nowitzki 45%
Sean Sweeney
56%
Billy Donovan
47%
Frank Vogel
45%
Dirk Nowitzki
45%
Tom Thibodeau
38%
Micah Nori
37%
Todd Golden
37%
Tiago Splitter
37%
Nick Nurse
37%
Tommy Lloyd
33%
If no permanent head coach is appointed by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent head coaches will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent head coach’s appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the Dallas Mavericks; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no permanent head coach is appointed by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent head coaches will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent head coach’s appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the Dallas Mavericks; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Dallas Mavericks' search for a new head coach opened after mutually parting ways with Jason Kidd following a disappointing 26-56 season. Trader consensus favors Sean Sweeney at 58.5% implied probability due to his four prior seasons as Kidd's lead assistant in Dallas, where he helped develop Luka Doncic, combined with his recent success as associate head coach for the Spurs' third-ranked defense. Micah Nori sits at 40% as a top offensive mind and longtime associate of new president Masai Ujiri from their Toronto days. Established NBA coaches like Frank Vogel and Tom Thibodeau hover near 39% on experience and playoff pedigrees, while Dirk Nowitzki and other internal or rising assistants reflect long-shot interest in familiar or developmental options amid a thorough process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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