Shohei Ohtani's explosive early 2026 start, featuring a .897 OPS, six home runs, and 13 RBI through late April alongside dominant pitching (0.60 ERA over 30 innings), has solidified trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability for the NL Hank Aaron Award, building on his 2025 win and Dodgers' lineup protection. Juan Soto's recent 10-day IL stint for a right calf strain since early April caps his 14% share despite prior plate discipline. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s sluggish .609 OPS and zero homers temper his 10% odds, while Ronald Acuña Jr.'s injury rehab delays and recent hit-by-pitch exit linger at 9.3%. Lindor, Harper, and Betts hover in single digits amid solid but unspectacular form in a competitive NL offensive race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Shohei Ohtani 48%
Juan Soto 14%
Bryce Harper 7.5%
Mookie Betts 6.9%
$116,317 Vol.
$116,317 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
48%
Juan Soto
14%
Bryce Harper
8%
Mookie Betts
7%
Kyle Schwarber
6%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
9%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
10%
Francisco Lindor
7%
Ketel Marte
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
Shohei Ohtani 48%
Juan Soto 14%
Bryce Harper 7.5%
Mookie Betts 6.9%
$116,317 Vol.
$116,317 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
$4,748 Vol.
48%
Juan Soto
$30,153 Vol.
14%
Bryce Harper
$84 Vol.
8%
Mookie Betts
$84 Vol.
7%
Kyle Schwarber
$80,458 Vol.
6%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
$173 Vol.
9%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
$88 Vol.
10%
Francisco Lindor
$172 Vol.
7%
Ketel Marte
$127 Vol.
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
$231 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani's explosive early 2026 start, featuring a .897 OPS, six home runs, and 13 RBI through late April alongside dominant pitching (0.60 ERA over 30 innings), has solidified trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability for the NL Hank Aaron Award, building on his 2025 win and Dodgers' lineup protection. Juan Soto's recent 10-day IL stint for a right calf strain since early April caps his 14% share despite prior plate discipline. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s sluggish .609 OPS and zero homers temper his 10% odds, while Ronald Acuña Jr.'s injury rehab delays and recent hit-by-pitch exit linger at 9.3%. Lindor, Harper, and Betts hover in single digits amid solid but unspectacular form in a competitive NL offensive race.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$116,317End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani's explosive early 2026 start, featuring a .897 OPS, six home runs, and 13 RBI through late April alongside dominant pitching (0.60 ERA over 30 innings), has solidified trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability for the NL Hank Aaron Award, building on his 2025 win and Dodgers' lineup protection. Juan Soto's recent 10-day IL stint for a right calf strain since early April caps his 14% share despite prior plate discipline. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s sluggish .609 OPS and zero homers temper his 10% odds, while Ronald Acuña Jr.'s injury rehab delays and recent hit-by-pitch exit linger at 9.3%. Lindor, Harper, and Betts hover in single digits amid solid but unspectacular form in a competitive NL offensive race.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$116,317End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shohei Ohtani's explosive early 2026 start, featuring a .897 OPS, six home runs, and 13 RBI through late April alongside dominant pitching (0.60 ERA over 30 innings), has solidified trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability for the NL Hank Aaron Award, building on his 2025 win and Dodgers' lineup protection. Juan Soto's recent 10-day IL stint for a right calf strain since early April caps his 14% share despite prior plate discipline. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s sluggish .609 OPS and zero homers temper his 10% odds, while Ronald Acuña Jr.'s injury rehab delays and recent hit-by-pitch exit linger at 9.3%. Lindor, Harper, and Betts hover in single digits amid solid but unspectacular form in a competitive NL offensive race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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