Trader consensus favors G2 Esports at 43.5% to win the LEC 2026 Spring Split, reflecting their championship pedigree—including a grand final victory over Karmine Corp in LEC Versus—and efficient 3-2 series record with a +4 game differential despite mid-table positioning, bolstered by recent 2-0 sweeps over weaker foes. Karmine Corp's 35% implied probability stems from their dominant 6-0 undefeated streak and 12-3 games record, capped by a 3-0 Week 5 run including 2-0 over Natus Vincere, overtaking Team Vitality for first. Movistar KOI sits at 12% on matching 3-2 form and +4 strength, while Vitality's 7.2% lags behind their 6-1 standing due to perceived playoff vulnerabilities; top-six playoff spots are locked with double-elimination bracket looming May 10.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLEC 2026 Spring Winner
LEC 2026 Spring Winner
G2 Esports 44%
Karmine Corp 35%
Movistar KOI 13%
Team Vitality 7.3%
$24,896 Vol.
$24,896 Vol.

G2 Esports
44%

Karmine Corp
35%

Movistar KOI
13%

Team Vitality
7%

Natus Vincere
4%

GIANTX
2%

Fnatic
1%

Team Heretics
<1%

SK Gaming
<1%

Shifters
<1%
G2 Esports 44%
Karmine Corp 35%
Movistar KOI 13%
Team Vitality 7.3%
$24,896 Vol.
$24,896 Vol.

G2 Esports
44%

Karmine Corp
35%

Movistar KOI
13%

Team Vitality
7%

Natus Vincere
4%

GIANTX
2%

Fnatic
1%

Team Heretics
<1%

SK Gaming
<1%

Shifters
<1%
If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 11:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors G2 Esports at 43.5% to win the LEC 2026 Spring Split, reflecting their championship pedigree—including a grand final victory over Karmine Corp in LEC Versus—and efficient 3-2 series record with a +4 game differential despite mid-table positioning, bolstered by recent 2-0 sweeps over weaker foes. Karmine Corp's 35% implied probability stems from their dominant 6-0 undefeated streak and 12-3 games record, capped by a 3-0 Week 5 run including 2-0 over Natus Vincere, overtaking Team Vitality for first. Movistar KOI sits at 12% on matching 3-2 form and +4 strength, while Vitality's 7.2% lags behind their 6-1 standing due to perceived playoff vulnerabilities; top-six playoff spots are locked with double-elimination bracket looming May 10.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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