KaBuM! IDL tops trader consensus at 66.8% implied probability after a flawless 9-0 group stage record in Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1, securing the No. 1 seed and a bye to upper bracket round 2 in the double-elimination playoffs starting May 4. Estral Esports (46.9%), paiN Gaming Academy (45.0%), and INTZ (44.5%) reflect strong positioning, with Estral's 6-3 finish earning a favorable upper quarterfinal matchup versus INTZ, while paiN overcame a dismal 2-7 group stage with a 5-1 play-in run (2-0 over Team Solid, 3-1 over RMD Gaming) to snag the No. 8 seed and build momentum. RED Academy's 15.8% lags despite 6-3 group results, likely due to a tougher playoff path amid the wisdom of crowds pricing in seeding advantages, streaks, and Bo3/Bo5 format dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCircuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 Winner
Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1 Winner
KaBuM! IDL 66.8%
paiN Gaming Academy 44.8%
INTZ 44%
RED Academy 15.8%

KaBuM! IDL
67%

paiN Gaming Academy
45%

INTZ
44%

RED Academy
16%

7REX
1%

RMD Gaming
1%

Keyd Stars Academy
1%

Team Solid
<1%

Ei Nerd Esports
<1%

Estral Esports
47%
KaBuM! IDL 66.8%
paiN Gaming Academy 44.8%
INTZ 44%
RED Academy 15.8%

KaBuM! IDL
67%

paiN Gaming Academy
45%

INTZ
44%

RED Academy
16%

7REX
1%

RMD Gaming
1%

Keyd Stars Academy
1%

Team Solid
<1%

Ei Nerd Esports
<1%

Estral Esports
47%
If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 11:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KaBuM! IDL tops trader consensus at 66.8% implied probability after a flawless 9-0 group stage record in Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 1, securing the No. 1 seed and a bye to upper bracket round 2 in the double-elimination playoffs starting May 4. Estral Esports (46.9%), paiN Gaming Academy (45.0%), and INTZ (44.5%) reflect strong positioning, with Estral's 6-3 finish earning a favorable upper quarterfinal matchup versus INTZ, while paiN overcame a dismal 2-7 group stage with a 5-1 play-in run (2-0 over Team Solid, 3-1 over RMD Gaming) to snag the No. 8 seed and build momentum. RED Academy's 15.8% lags despite 6-3 group results, likely due to a tougher playoff path amid the wisdom of crowds pricing in seeding advantages, streaks, and Bo3/Bo5 format dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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