Recent weather model consensus and observational data position 22°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on June 15, with 21°C and 23°C as close alternatives, reflecting typical mid-June conditions under a mild westerly flow. Official guidance highlights sunny intervals, light winds, and limited cloud cover that support modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Climatological baselines for the period average 21–23°C highs, and current short-range forecasts align closely with this range while carrying normal uncertainty from local urban effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Traders appear to weight these model runs and early-day temperature trends heavily, with minimal probability assigned to extremes that would require atypical high-pressure blocking or rapid frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 53%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
24°C 2.5%
NEW
$21,096 Vol.
NEW
$21,096 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
25%
22°C
53%
23°C
22%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 53%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
24°C 2.5%
NEW
$21,096 Vol.
NEW
$21,096 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,688 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,477 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,999 Vol.
25%
22°C
$2,421 Vol.
53%
23°C
$2,209 Vol.
22%
24°C
$946 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,894 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$2,106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus and observational data position 22°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on June 15, with 21°C and 23°C as close alternatives, reflecting typical mid-June conditions under a mild westerly flow. Official guidance highlights sunny intervals, light winds, and limited cloud cover that support modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Climatological baselines for the period average 21–23°C highs, and current short-range forecasts align closely with this range while carrying normal uncertainty from local urban effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Traders appear to weight these model runs and early-day temperature trends heavily, with minimal probability assigned to extremes that would require atypical high-pressure blocking or rapid frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$21,096End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus and observational data position 22°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on June 15, with 21°C and 23°C as close alternatives, reflecting typical mid-June conditions under a mild westerly flow. Official guidance highlights sunny intervals, light winds, and limited cloud cover that support modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Climatological baselines for the period average 21–23°C highs, and current short-range forecasts align closely with this range while carrying normal uncertainty from local urban effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Traders appear to weight these model runs and early-day temperature trends heavily, with minimal probability assigned to extremes that would require atypical high-pressure blocking or rapid frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,096End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus and observational data position 22°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on June 15, with 21°C and 23°C as close alternatives, reflecting typical mid-June conditions under a mild westerly flow. Official guidance highlights sunny intervals, light winds, and limited cloud cover that support modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Climatological baselines for the period average 21–23°C highs, and current short-range forecasts align closely with this range while carrying normal uncertainty from local urban effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Traders appear to weight these model runs and early-day temperature trends heavily, with minimal probability assigned to extremes that would require atypical high-pressure blocking or rapid frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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