Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface highs near 1015 hPa suppressing strong advection. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–23°C while reflecting slightly cooler-than-normal steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s°F that cap afternoon heating. Trader positioning around 22°C (52.5% implied probability) versus 21°C (24.5%) and 23°C (19.5%) incorporates the latest short-range updates showing limited warming potential before evening cooling, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variance and any remaining model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official observations from DWD stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 53%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
24°C 2.7%
NEW
$21,005 Vol.
NEW
$21,005 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
25%
22°C
53%
23°C
20%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 53%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
24°C 2.7%
NEW
$21,005 Vol.
NEW
$21,005 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,688 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,472 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,999 Vol.
25%
22°C
$2,365 Vol.
53%
23°C
$2,180 Vol.
20%
24°C
$914 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,889 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$2,106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface highs near 1015 hPa suppressing strong advection. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–23°C while reflecting slightly cooler-than-normal steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s°F that cap afternoon heating. Trader positioning around 22°C (52.5% implied probability) versus 21°C (24.5%) and 23°C (19.5%) incorporates the latest short-range updates showing limited warming potential before evening cooling, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variance and any remaining model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official observations from DWD stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$21,005End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface highs near 1015 hPa suppressing strong advection. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–23°C while reflecting slightly cooler-than-normal steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s°F that cap afternoon heating. Trader positioning around 22°C (52.5% implied probability) versus 21°C (24.5%) and 23°C (19.5%) incorporates the latest short-range updates showing limited warming potential before evening cooling, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variance and any remaining model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official observations from DWD stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,005End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface highs near 1015 hPa suppressing strong advection. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–23°C while reflecting slightly cooler-than-normal steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s°F that cap afternoon heating. Trader positioning around 22°C (52.5% implied probability) versus 21°C (24.5%) and 23°C (19.5%) incorporates the latest short-range updates showing limited warming potential before evening cooling, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variance and any remaining model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official observations from DWD stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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