Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds the lead at 55% implied probability thanks to its prime July 31 summer slot, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and strong presale momentum for a potential $1.3–1.6 billion global run. Toy Story 5 sits second at 19% on the back of its June 19 release and robust $150–175 million domestic opening projections that could set franchise records and claim early-year dominance. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14% despite December holiday positioning and major MCU crossover appeal, while The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s 6.6% reflects its already-completed April run and $1 billion-plus worldwide haul to date. Later releases like Dune: Messiah and Wicked: For Good remain long shots given timing and competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La película más taquillera de 2026?
¿La película más taquillera de 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Toy Story 5 19.1%
Avengers: Doomsday 14%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy 6.6%
$11,560,780 Vol.
$11,560,780 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
55%
Toy Story 5
19%
Avengers: Doomsday
14%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
7%
La Odisea
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Wicked: For Good
1%
Scream 7
1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha
<1%
Michael
<1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Toy Story 5 19.1%
Avengers: Doomsday 14%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy 6.6%
$11,560,780 Vol.
$11,560,780 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$319,725 Vol.
55%
Toy Story 5
$332,695 Vol.
19%
Avengers: Doomsday
$403,607 Vol.
14%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
$349,629 Vol.
7%
La Odisea
$487,832 Vol.
2%
Dune: Messiah
$402,618 Vol.
1%
Wicked: For Good
$1,670,513 Vol.
1%
Scream 7
$1,943,026 Vol.
1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
$1,801,316 Vol.
1%
Jumanji 3
$550,354 Vol.
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$427,360 Vol.
<1%
Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha
$909,201 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$907,103 Vol.
<1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
$1,057,026 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds the lead at 55% implied probability thanks to its prime July 31 summer slot, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and strong presale momentum for a potential $1.3–1.6 billion global run. Toy Story 5 sits second at 19% on the back of its June 19 release and robust $150–175 million domestic opening projections that could set franchise records and claim early-year dominance. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14% despite December holiday positioning and major MCU crossover appeal, while The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s 6.6% reflects its already-completed April run and $1 billion-plus worldwide haul to date. Later releases like Dune: Messiah and Wicked: For Good remain long shots given timing and competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Volumen
$11,560,780Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds the lead at 55% implied probability thanks to its prime July 31 summer slot, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and strong presale momentum for a potential $1.3–1.6 billion global run. Toy Story 5 sits second at 19% on the back of its June 19 release and robust $150–175 million domestic opening projections that could set franchise records and claim early-year dominance. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14% despite December holiday positioning and major MCU crossover appeal, while The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s 6.6% reflects its already-completed April run and $1 billion-plus worldwide haul to date. Later releases like Dune: Messiah and Wicked: For Good remain long shots given timing and competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$11,560,780Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds the lead at 55% implied probability thanks to its prime July 31 summer slot, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and strong presale momentum for a potential $1.3–1.6 billion global run. Toy Story 5 sits second at 19% on the back of its June 19 release and robust $150–175 million domestic opening projections that could set franchise records and claim early-year dominance. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14% despite December holiday positioning and major MCU crossover appeal, while The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s 6.6% reflects its already-completed April run and $1 billion-plus worldwide haul to date. Later releases like Dune: Messiah and Wicked: For Good remain long shots given timing and competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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