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icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick
Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick
Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

AJ Dybantsa 83%

Darryn Peterson 9%

Koa Peat 8.0%

Cameron Boozer 2.0%

Polymarket

$17,277 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa 83%

Darryn Peterson 9%

Koa Peat 8.0%

Cameron Boozer 2.0%

Polymarket

$17,277 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa

$6,376 Vol.

83%

Darryn Peterson

$3,546 Vol.

16%

Koa Peat

$1,112 Vol.

8%

Cameron Boozer

$1,622 Vol.

8%

Jayden Quaintance

$958 Vol.

9%

Caleb Wilson

$877 Vol.

1%

Tounde Yessoufou

$791 Vol.

<1%

Nate Ament

$893 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$1,102 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.BYU freshman AJ Dybantsa solidified his status as the consensus top prospect for the 2026 NBA Draft with his declaration one week ago, following a dominant one-and-done season where he led the nation in scoring at 25.5 points per game alongside 6.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists. This performance propelled him to No. 1 on ESPN's updated big board, overtaking Kansas' Darryn Peterson amid scout praise for his 6-9 frame, playmaking, and superstar upside, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 79% implied probability for the top pick. Peterson holds strong at 18% as the stylistic PG challenger, while Duke's Cameron Boozer (8.5%) and others trail amid recent mock draft shifts favoring Dybantsa's size and efficiency over high school pedigrees like Koa Peat's. Pre-draft workouts and lottery positioning loom as key variables ahead of June.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$17,277
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.BYU freshman AJ Dybantsa solidified his status as the consensus top prospect for the 2026 NBA Draft with his declaration one week ago, following a dominant one-and-done season where he led the nation in scoring at 25.5 points per game alongside 6.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists. This performance propelled him to No. 1 on ESPN's updated big board, overtaking Kansas' Darryn Peterson amid scout praise for his 6-9 frame, playmaking, and superstar upside, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 79% implied probability for the top pick. Peterson holds strong at 18% as the stylistic PG challenger, while Duke's Cameron Boozer (8.5%) and others trail amid recent mock draft shifts favoring Dybantsa's size and efficiency over high school pedigrees like Koa Peat's. Pre-draft workouts and lottery positioning loom as key variables ahead of June.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$17,277
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AJ Dybantsa" at 83%, followed by "Darryn Peterson" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is "AJ Dybantsa" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darryn Peterson" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.