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Sports·CBA

CBA: Winner

icon for CBA: Winner
Sports·CBA

CBA: Winner

Shanghai Dongfang 98%

Nanjing Tongxi Monkey King 97%

Tianjin Pioneers 97%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions 97%

Polymarket
NEW

Shanghai Dongfang 98%

Nanjing Tongxi Monkey King 97%

Tianjin Pioneers 97%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions 97%

Polymarket
NEW

Shanghai Dongfang

$88 Vol.

98%

Nanjing Tongxi Monkey King

$0 Vol.

97%

Tianjin Pioneers

$0 Vol.

97%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions

$0 Vol.

97%

Shanxi Zhongyu

$0 Vol.

95%

Shandong Kylins

$0 Vol.

91%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

$0 Vol.

91%

Fujian

$0 Vol.

89%

Guangdong Southern Tigers

$0 Vol.

89%

Zhejiang Chouzhou Golden Bulls

$0 Vol.

89%

Beijing Ducks

$0 Vol.

87%

Jiangsu Dragons

$0 Vol.

86%

Ningbo Rockets

$0 Vol.

86%

Beijing Royal Fighters

$0 Vol.

85%

Qingdao Eagles

$0 Vol.

85%

Jilin Northeast Tigers

$0 Vol.

81%

Liaoning Flying Leopards

$0 Vol.

79%

Guangzhou Loong Lions

$0 Vol.

78%

Shenzhen Leopards

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shanghai Dongfang's league-best 38-4 regular season record earned the top seed and quarterfinal bye, yet traders imply just 49% championship odds, trailing Shenzhen Leopards' 52.5% consensus on the third seed's playoff momentum and balanced roster after a 30-12 campaign. The futures market clusters tightly around 43-52% for contenders like Tianjin Pioneers, Qingdao Eagles, and Zhejiang Guangsha Lions, driven by 1/8 finals volatility: upsets including Guangzhou Long-Lions' 93-76 stunner over fifth-seed Guangdong Southern Tigers and Liaoning Flying Leopards' 77-67 win versus Shandong Heroes highlight parity in best-of-three openers. With top-four byes shielding Shanghai, Shenzhen, Zhejiang Guangsha, and Beijing Ducks from early chaos, any advancing underdog could disrupt bracket paths in best-of-five quarterfinals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shanghai Dongfang's league-best 38-4 regular season record earned the top seed and quarterfinal bye, yet traders imply just 49% championship odds, trailing Shenzhen Leopards' 52.5% consensus on the third seed's playoff momentum and balanced roster after a 30-12 campaign. The futures market clusters tightly around 43-52% for contenders like Tianjin Pioneers, Qingdao Eagles, and Zhejiang Guangsha Lions, driven by 1/8 finals volatility: upsets including Guangzhou Long-Lions' 93-76 stunner over fifth-seed Guangdong Southern Tigers and Liaoning Flying Leopards' 77-67 win versus Shandong Heroes highlight parity in best-of-three openers. With top-four byes shielding Shanghai, Shenzhen, Zhejiang Guangsha, and Beijing Ducks from early chaos, any advancing underdog could disrupt bracket paths in best-of-five quarterfinals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CBA: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shenzhen Leopards" at 51%, followed by "Shanghai Dongfang" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CBA: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CBA: Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CBA: Winner" is "Shenzhen Leopards" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shanghai Dongfang" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CBA: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.