Skip to main content
icon for Ganador de la Copa del Mundo
Deportes·Fútbol

Ganador de la Copa del Mundo

icon for Ganador de la Copa del Mundo
Deportes·Fútbol

Ganador de la Copa del Mundo

Francia 16.8%

España 16.0%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Portugal 9.3%

Polymarket

$1,548,018,429 Vol.

Francia 16.8%

España 16.0%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Portugal 9.3%

Polymarket

$1,548,018,429 Vol.

icon for Francia

Francia

$36,063,907 Vol.

17%

icon for España

España

$29,153,081 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$24,819,261 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$29,894,130 Vol.

9%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$26,440,083 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$26,704,860 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$26,532,730 Vol.

5%

icon for Países Bajos

Países Bajos

$29,430,513 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$29,727,866 Vol.

3%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$26,348,473 Vol.

2%

icon for Japón

Japón

$31,819,254 Vol.

2%

icon for Colombia

Colombia

$25,486,536 Vol.

2%

icon for Marruecos

Marruecos

$33,146,563 Vol.

2%

icon for Turquía

Turquía

$28,241,806 Vol.

1%

icon for USA

USA

$44,703,687 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguay

Uruguay

$27,956,832 Vol.

1%

icon for México

México

$33,193,071 Vol.

1%

icon for Suiza

Suiza

$27,742,303 Vol.

1%

icon for Ecuador

Ecuador

$33,804,071 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$36,142,054 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$27,972,912 Vol.

1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$32,712,018 Vol.

1%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$19,824,282 Vol.

1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$32,847,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa de Marfil

Costa de Marfil

$40,353,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Corea del Sur

Corea del Sur

$36,721,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ghana

Ghana

$28,742,675 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

$16,734,105 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguay

Paraguay

$29,642,298 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escocia

Escocia

$34,230,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$15,700,958 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egipto

Egipto

$33,778,244 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irán

Irán

$34,826,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argelia

Argelia

$30,572,239 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$41,177,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nueva Zelanda

Nueva Zelanda

$44,919,157 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haití

Haití

$30,954,157 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordania

Jordania

$30,509,369 Vol.

<1%

icon for Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao

$40,639,059 Vol.

<1%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$30,353,499 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbekistán

Uzbekistán

$55,413,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$18,371,597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irak

Irak

$27,127,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sudáfrica

Sudáfrica

$34,140,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD del Congo

RD del Congo

$41,907,144 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$38,552,917 Vol.

<1%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$40,547,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$42,619,279 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple elite national teams hold similar implied probabilities for the 2026 World Cup title due to balanced squad depths, strong qualifying campaigns, and competitive recent form across Europe and South America. France and Spain lead with the highest trader consensus at 16.8% and 16.0%, followed closely by England, while traditional powers like Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany remain firmly in contention. This tight clustering underscores the absence of a dominant favorite, the impact of key player availability and tactical matchups, and the potential for shifts from ongoing international results or injuries.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,548,018,429
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple elite national teams hold similar implied probabilities for the 2026 World Cup title due to balanced squad depths, strong qualifying campaigns, and competitive recent form across Europe and South America. France and Spain lead with the highest trader consensus at 16.8% and 16.0%, followed closely by England, while traditional powers like Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany remain firmly in contention. This tight clustering underscores the absence of a dominant favorite, the impact of key player availability and tactical matchups, and the potential for shifts from ongoing international results or injuries.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,548,018,429
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 50+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Francia" con 17%, seguido de "España" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " ha generado $1.5 billion en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo ", explora los 50+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " es "Francia" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "España" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.